Date: 1998/09/24

From: Evgenij Barsukov (evgen@camd1.kkpcr.re.kr)

Subject: Вероятность существования Бога Re:(Смысл)

Newsgroups: relcom.sci.philosophy

Let's elaborate more on spontaneous creation of something out of nothing,

based on the derivations in previous alrticle where we came to conclusion that with

zero probability of single spontaneous creation event results in P1=1-exp(-1) probability of at least one

event during infinite number of attempts.

Now, now much stuff can we create using this "spontaneous creation"? Obviously, it

is not enough to have just _one_ event if we want to describe all the multitude and complexity

of our entire universe. Let's see what what probability we have of coexistance of at least

two spontaneous events. Probability of their spontaneous occurance will be multiple

of probabilities of each separate occurances, e.g. p=1/k * 1/k where k-->0.

Substituting this single event probability into equation for cumulative

probability with N attempts:

P = (1- (1-p)^N)

and taking N as infinity (defined as N=1/k where k-->0)

we obtain

P2 = lim {k-->0} (1-(1-1/k^2)^1/k)= 0As we can see, our "event" would be always alone in one-dimensional universe,

as chances of spontaneous creatioin of his co-existant event would be zero.

However, we now should remember that "Nothingness" includes not only absence

of any kind of objects, but also absence of any conceivable restrictions. This means that there is

no restriction also to "kinds" of events that can take place. Basically there

is infinite number of different kinds of spontaneously created events that we have

to consider.

This makes situation much more interesting, because introduction

of any new "kind" of objects has effect of adding additional dimmensions in which

we can exectute "attempts" to realize our probability p. So, if we would have 2 kinds of

events, we would have 2 dimensional tryal space, 3 kinds - 3 dimmensional, infinite number

of kinds - infinite dimmensional space.

Now, let's explore this new situation. Returning back to the probability of spontaneous

creation of 2 events simultaneously, p=1/k * 1/k and considering that we have 2 dimmensional

space, number of trials becomes N=N1*N1 . Substituting this number into

cummulative probability equation we obtain:

Now, this is remarcable - we already have 2 simultaneously existing events, that

self-created out of nothing with non-zero probabiilty (about 0.632121(...))!

What if we continue with the logic of unrestricted number

of "kinds" of events? We will be able to have non-zero probability of self-creation

of more and more events by adding more "kinds" of events.

Limit of this process is infinite number of simultaneously existing events in infinite-dimensional

tryal space. Substituting correspondent single event probability and number of tries we get:

As you can see, result does not depend on k (number of simultaneous
events and number of

dimmensions) the result will always be 1-еxp(-1), which is the same
number, "probability

of creation". Substituting instead of k infinity we get:

P_{inf}=1-exp(-1)

Now, what does this result mean? We can see that we have non-zero
probability of self-creation

of INFINITELY COMPLEX (e.g. consisting of infinite number of
simultanesouly existing parts)

object! This probability is equal to the "magic" number

1-exp(-1) = 0.632121(...)

But what IS this infinitely complex object? Our feeling is that the
more complex is an object,

the more it is "alife", the nearer it is to us humans. For example
amobae is much more

complex then molecules it consists off. The plant is more complext then
stone, animal more

complex then plant. Can this increase of complexity continue to
infinity? The considerations

above give positive answer to this question. Infinitely complex, which
means also "infinitely

alife" object does exist with probability 0.632121(...). How will we
call this object?

In thousands years of human existance people has called everything that
is more complex

than themselfs "God". Obviously the infinitely complex object is the
final approximation of

this increasing complexity. It become more complex than us as far as it
can get - to infinity,

so it reaches the limiting definition of the one and only God. If there
can be a more formal

and religiously neutral definity of God, I bet it has not been anounced
yet.

So, that means we just calculated probability of God's existance??

This is curious... We have here 3 great things long sought - formal
definition of God,

proof of its existance (well, with finite probability), and the
probability of his existance itself!

Everything without any a-priory or subjective assumptions!

Well, some will say it is a pity that probabilty of his existance is
not 1, but what the hell-

at least it is higher then 1/2!

Regards,

Ж.