Le "radici" della guerra in Iraq....
a cura di Simone Cumbo
In una lettera al presidente Clinton datata 26 gennaio 1998 richiesero "la
destituzione del regime di Saddam Hussein", e in una lettera datata 29
maggio 1998, si lamentarono con il presidente della Camera dei
Rappresentanti Newt Gingrich e con il Senatore Trent Lott che Clinton non li
aveva presi in considerazione, reiterando al contempo il consiglio di
rovesciare Saddam Hussein. E aggiunsero "Dobbiamo stabilire e mantenere una
forte presenza militare statunitense nella regione, essere pronti ad usare
questa forza per proteggere i nostri interessi vitali nel Golfo Persico e,
se necessario, appoggiare la destituzione di Saddam". Queste lettere
portavano la firma di Donald Rumsfeld; William Kristol, direttore della
rivista di destra Weekly Standard e presidente del PNAC; Elliott Abrams, il
cospiratore colpevole dell'affare Iran-Contra che nel 2002 Bush nominò
direttore della politica del Medio Oriente del Consiglio di Sicurezza
Nazionale; Paul Wolfowitz, attuale vice di Rumsfeld al Pentagono; John
Bolton, attuale sottosegretario di stato per il controllo delle armi e la
sicurezza internazionale; Richard Perle, attuale presidente del Defense
Science Board; William J. Bennett, Segretario all'Istruzione del presidente
Reagan; Richard Armitage, attuale vice di Colin Powell al Dipartimento di
Stato; Zalmay Khalilzad, ex consulente della UNOCAL e ambasciatore di Bush
in Afganistan; e molti altri importanti militaristi americani. Oltre ai
firmatari delle lettere, vi sono anche i fondatori del PNAC, tra i tanti
Dick Cheney; I. Lewis Libby, attuale capo dello staff di Cheney; e Stephen
Cambone, burocrate del Pentagono in entrambe le amministrazioni Bush. Le
loro idee sono state rapidamente diffuse grazie ad un rapporto datato
settembre 2000 intitolato "Rebuilding America's Defenses: Strategy, Forces,
and Resources for a New Century" (Ricostruire le difese dell'America:
strategie, forze e risorse per il nuovo secolo - N.d.T.) e da un libro
curato da Robert Kagan e William Kristol, Present Dangers: Crisis and
Opportunity in American Foreign and Defense Policy.
Dopo che George W. Bush diventò presidente, molti di questi uomini
ritornarono a ricoprire posizioni di potere nell'ambito della politica
estera americana. Per nove mesi, erano rimasti in agguato. Stavano
aspettando, per dirla con le parole del documento del PNAC "Rebuilding
America's Defenses", un "evento catastrofico e catalizzante, una nuova Pearl
Harbor" che avrebbe mobilitato l'opinione pubblica e avrebbe consentito loro
di mettere in pratica le loro teorie e i loro piani. L'11 settembre era
quello che ci voleva. Condoleezza Rice riunì i membri del Consiglio di
Sicurezza Nazionale e chiese loro di "pensare al 'modo di trarre vantaggio
da queste opportunità' per cambiare alla base la dottrina americana e
l'aspetto del mondo sulla scia degli avvenimenti dell'11 settembre". Disse
"Penso davvero che questo periodo sia analogo a quello tra il 1945 e il
1947, quando la paura e la paranoia portarono gli Stati Uniti alla Guerra
Fredda con l'Unione Sovietica.
January 26, 1998
The Honorable William J. Clinton
President of the United States
Washington, DC
Dear Mr. President:
We are writing you because we are convinced that current American policy
toward Iraq is not succeeding, and that we may soon face a threat in the
Middle East more serious than any we have known since the end of the Cold
War. In your upcoming State of the Union Address, you have an opportunity
to chart a clear and determined course for meeting this threat. We urge you
to seize that opportunity, and to enunciate a new strategy that would secure
the interests of the U.S. and our friends and allies around the world. That
strategy should aim, above all, at the removal of Saddam Hussein's regime
from power. We stand ready to offer our full support in this difficult but
necessary endeavor.
The policy of "containment" of Saddam Hussein has been steadily eroding over
the past several months. As recent events have demonstrated, we can no
longer depend on our partners in the Gulf War coalition to continue to
uphold the sanctions or to punish Saddam when he blocks or evades UN
inspections. Our ability to ensure that Saddam Hussein is not producing
weapons of mass destruction, therefore, has substantially diminished. Even
if full inspections were eventually to resume, which now seems highly
unlikely, experience has shown that it is difficult if not impossible to
monitor Iraq's chemical and biological weapons production. The lengthy
period during which the inspectors will have been unable to enter many Iraqi
facilities has made it even less likely that they will be able to uncover
all of Saddam's secrets. As a result, in the not-too-distant future we will
be unable to determine with any reasonable level of confidence whether Iraq
does or does not possess such weapons.
Such uncertainty will, by itself, have a seriously destabilizing effect on
the entire Middle East. It hardly needs to be added that if Saddam does
acquire the capability to deliver weapons of mass destruction, as he is
almost certain to do if we continue along the present course, the safety of
American troops in the region, of our friends and allies like Israel and the
moderate Arab states, and a significant portion of the world's supply of oil
will all be put at hazard. As you have rightly declared, Mr. President, the
security of the world in the first part of the 21st century will be
determined largely by how we handle this threat.
Given the magnitude of the threat, the current policy, which depends for its
success upon the steadfastness of our coalition partners and upon the
cooperation of Saddam Hussein, is dangerously inadequate. The only
acceptable strategy is one that eliminates the possibility that Iraq will be
able to use or threaten to use weapons of mass destruction. In the near
term, this means a willingness to undertake military action as diplomacy is
clearly failing. In the long term, it means removing Saddam Hussein and his
regime from power. That now needs to become the aim of American foreign
policy.
We urge you to articulate this aim, and to turn your Administration's
attention to implementing a strategy for removing Saddam's regime from
power. This will require a full complement of diplomatic, political and
military efforts. Although we are fully aware of the dangers and
difficulties in implementing this policy, we believe the dangers of failing
to do so are far greater. We believe the U.S. has the authority under
existing UN resolutions to take the necessary steps, including military
steps, to protect our vital interests in the Gulf. In any case, American
policy cannot continue to be crippled by a misguided insistence on unanimity
in the UN Security Council.
We urge you to act decisively. If you act now to end the threat of weapons
of mass destruction against the U.S. or its allies, you will be acting in
the most fundamental national security interests of the country. If we
accept a course of weakness and drift, we put our interests and our future
at risk.
Sincerely,
Elliott Abrams Richard L. Armitage William J. Bennett
Jeffrey Bergner John Bolton Paula Dobriansky
Francis Fukuyama Robert Kagan Zalmay Khalilzad
William Kristol Richard Perle Peter W. Rodman
Donald Rumsfeld William Schneider, Jr. Vin Weber
Paul Wolfowitz R. James Woolsey Robert B. Zoellick