Index

JAIC states that the reason of the sinking was water on car deck, but that the water couldn't sink the Estonia unless water entered the ship's accommodation areas. How this was possible is not investigated. The theory that the commission present is so vague, impossible and unbelievable that there are no words for it. No other possible explanation is presented. At least the commission should have excluded some of the most reasonable alternative causes to the disaster, but not even that have been done. The alternatives are presented here.

• Collision. Estonia could have been involved in a collision with some floating object, or even with a ship, for example human smugglers or a military vessel, even a submarine. A floating, or half floating object could have hit the fin stabilization system causing a leakage.
• Sabotage. There are a number of theories of why a sabotage could have been the reason to the disaster. It could have been because of a smuggled cargo, it could be because of a fight between the Mafia in Riga and Tallinn, or because of that the shipping company did not pay the Mafia "port fees".
• Mine. Drifting mines are not unknown in the Baltic sea. Some time before the disaster there were reports of a drifting mine a bit more north in the Baltic sea.
• Fatigue. Some underwater part of the hull could have been poorly repaired and has cracked or broke because of fatigue.
• Grounding. Estonia was south of her normal rote. It is quite unlikely, but unknown underwater rocks have been found in a lot of places in the Baltic sea during the years. One shall remember that most of the deep measurings have been done a long time ago.
• Explosion aboard. An explosion aboard could have happened. There are a number of tanks aboard.

None of these alternative causes have been investigated nor excluded by any investigation. The sabotage theory was thrown over board just a couple of days after the disaster, almost before the ship was found and long before the visor was found.

There are several indications that some of the alternatives above could be the real reason to the disaster.

• According to witnesses the sound was a blow, explosion or sound that could not have been caused by the waves. The sound was extremely loud.
• The ship was lifted when the sound of the blow came.
• The ship started to move in all directions after the blow. If something hit the fin stabilization system it could have been a normal behavior from the ship.
• There are several reports of a secret and dangerous cargo.