The statistical data shows the HIV Epidemic development in Ukraine.

In the official UNAIDS application it was market "…. Ukraine is the center of the infection in the Eastern Europe…. and the registered figures are only the top of the iceberg".

Even in 1995 WHO carried Ukraine to the countries with the low HIV/AIDS rates, but this year began the prompt the growth of HIV especially in drug users (75%-80% of the total registered). Now among according to the results of the Ukraine HIV/AIDS. Prevention Center (Ukrainian Ministry of Health) examination up to the October 1999 - 29317 there were HIV positive cases were registered.

Today HIV/AIDS cases were reported from all administrative areas of Ukraine with 100 times difference between the first and the last.

For the different areas there were no specific signes before 1995. As for example among the most significant for Odessa area there were the sexual contacts especially with the HIV positive foreigners (Uganda, Ethiopia, Congo, Burundi, Tanzania).

Since 1987 every year 1-3 new groups among tested appear influencing was connected with the outbreak of HIV infection among the drug users started in the Southern region and then involving all the Ukraine.

Every year the rates were rising up to 20% and more not only in big cities but also in towns and even villages.

By the prognosis of the Ukrainian specialists formed on the basis of the present situation in 2000 we will have 100 000 HIV positive citizens of Ukraine. According the opinion of the WHO experts we should multiply this figure 5 times at least (500 000).

The group of the international experts developed the middle and long terms of HIV/AIDS epidemic development in the Ukraine.

According to the executed estimation two options are possible:

"Slow HIV/AIDS" - the variation of development similar to the situation in Western Europe where distribution occurs in very closed and separate group of drug users without significant involving of the heterosexual ordinary population.

"Fast HIV/AIDS" - the variant of development to the South East Asia and Brazil, where development of epidemic occurs among the most heterosexual population. In the case of the "Fast HIV/AIDS epidemic development" we will have the loses follows:

By 2010 the total number of HIV-infected can reach - 1,4 million with the number of new cases per year:

2001 - (20 000 - 24 000)

2006 - (61 000 - 111 000)

2011 - (65 000 - 175 000)

2016 - (40 000 - 155 000).

The number of death cases caused by HIV/AIDS epidemic will make:

2001 - (12 000 - 13 000)

2006 - (55 000 - 92 000)

2011 - (67 000 - 169 000)

2016 - (45 000 - 163 000).

The total number of death caused by HIV/Aids will make in 2016 0,8 - 1,9 million.

For all medical, economical, ethical, demographically reasons we need to do everything to spot the "Fast HIV/AIDS model" epidemic development. For this reason it's necessary to collaborate different national levels involving State and NGOs ordinary population, professionals and Mass media as well as use the best international examples and experiences.