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A few notes are in order and are included below.
1. The analysis considered the 1958-2000 seasons plus Roy
Campanella's career, since Retrosheet has play by play data
for all of his games.
2. Retrosheet does not have all games for all years. The record
is complete from 1974-2000 for both leagues and 1963-2000 for
the AL. At least 95% of all games were available for each
season.
3. Only catchers who allowed 40 attempts per season were
considered (except that all Campanella seasons were
included). There were 1569 catcher-seasons meeting these
criteria.
4. The top 10 catchers for 2000 are presented below in the first
table. The team abbreviations should be self-explanatory.
SB2 is the number of steals of second against this catcher,
CS2 the number of runners he caught stealing; SB3 and CS3 are
the corresponding numbers at third base. The first
percentage (Pct) is the percentage of runners thrown out
trying to steal second. The second percentage is the
combination of action at second and third bases.
5. The 10 worst performances for 2000 are in the second table.
The point is not to embarrass anyone, but to show the range
for a single season. It should be noted that Mike Piazza's
problems in 2000 are not typical for him since his career
average is 21.6%.
6. The top 20 single season performances for the entire data set
analyzed are presented next. The single line following that
is the worst single season percentage of success, by Luis
Pujols.
7. Only caught stealing initiated by the catcher were included.
Since 1979 a runner can be charged with caught stealing on
a pickoff from the pitcher if he tries to advance; rule
10.08(h)(2).
6. The next table contains career values, considering only
those catchers allowing at least 100 attempts. There were
320 such catchers. The worst career performance follows
that table.
7. The percentage of caught stealing has changed dramatically
in the last 40 years. The final table gives the values for
each fifth year from 1960 to 2000. The intervening years
were omitted to make the table less cluttered; they are
available upon request.
Conclusions:
1. Roy Campanella was extraordinary. He has the top three
single season performances and five of the top six. In
1948 and 1952 he caught more than two thirds of the
runners trying to steal second. The usual assumption is
the "break even" point from a runner's point of view is
70% success (somewhat lower values are favored by some
analysts). Campanella essentially reversed that figure.
2. The most recent single season performance better than
Blanco's in 2000 was turned in by Bob Boone in 1982. All
of the others are much older. When the changing league
percentages are taken into account, Blanco's record last
year becomes even more impressive.
3. Ivan Rodriguez is widely regarded as a great throwing
catcher; he and Blanco are the only contemporary catchers
on the career list below. However, Rodriguez does not
have an individual season in the top 20. His best totals
were marks of 53.2% and 52.8% in 1999 and 1997, respectively.
4. Benito Santiago is also frequently praised for his throwing
abilities. His best single season was 165th on the list,
with a value of 43.4% in 1994 and he is at position 164 on
the career list with a mark of 30.2
5. The percentages presented here must be considered in the
context of opportunities. For example (data not shown here),
one effect of Santiago and Rodriguez has been that opposing
runners attempt to steal much less often when they are behind
the plate. It is necessary to balance the frequency of
attempt with the percentage of success. That analysis is
much more complicated and will not be presented here.
Analysis by David W Smith, January 27, 2001, from Retrosheet
data.
Top 10 catchers for the 2000 season for percentage of runners
thrown out by catcher while trying to steal second or third.
Rank 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 |
Catcher Henry Blanco Mike Matheny Brad Ausmus Alberto Castillo Mike Lieberthal Mark Johnson Wiki Gonzalez Ben Molina Mike Redmond Einar Diaz |
Team MIL SLN DET TOR PHI CHA SDN ANA FLO CLE |
SB2 24 44 37 18 36 34 39 61 40 30 |
CS2 33 43 26 14 24 15 22 29 16 10 |
SB3 4 0 5 6 8 4 6 8 4 4 |
CS3 3 3 4 2 0 4 0 4 5 6 |
Pct 56.3 51.1 41.7 40.0 35.3 33.3 32.8 32.4 32.3 32.0 |
Bottom 10 catchers for the 2000 season for percentage of runners
thrown out by catcher while trying to steal second or third.
Rank 10 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 |
Catcher Javy Lopez Todd Hundley Raul Casanova Jason Varitek Ed Taubensee Tony Eusebio Greg Zaun Brook Fordyce Scott Hatteberg Mike Piazza |
Team ATL LAN MIL BOS CIN HOU KCA BAL BOS NYM |
SB2 61 67 31 80 42 32 53 48 42 91 |
CS2 17 16 7 23 10 7 9 10 8 14 |
SB3 8 7 8 24 8 5 4 7 12 19 |
CS3 0 2 2 0 1 1 3 1 0 1 |
Pct 19.8 19.6 18.8 18.1 18.0 17.8 17.4 16.7 12.9 12.0 |
Top 20 single seasons for percentage of runners thrown out
by catcher while trying to steal second or third, based on
total data set analyzed.
Rank 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 |
Catcher Roy Campanella Roy Campanella Roy Campanella Joe Azcue Roy Campanella Roy Campanella
Ed Bailey Thurman Munson Dick Bertell John Roseboro John Roseboro Sammy White Roy Campanella Mike Ryan
Bob Boone Henry Blanco Earl Battey Ellie Rodriguez Paul Casanova Yogi Berra |
Year 1951 1948 1952 1966 1950 1949 1959 1971 1963 1964
1959 1958 1953 1968 1982 2000 1960 1971 1970 1958 |
Team BRO BRO BRO CLE BRO
BRO CIN NYA CHN LAN LAN BOS BRO PHI CAL MIL WAS MIL WAS NYA |
SB2 15 9 13 17 19 14 17
20 24 19 15 15 16 25 43 24 25 26 18 20 |
CS2 29 21 27 25 29 23
28 31 36 27 22 23 20 29 56 33 33 35 23 24 |
SB3 0 2 4 0 2 1 2 2
3 0 2 2 1 0 2 4 4 4 2 0 |
CS3 3 2 3 3 5 1 1 2
1 1 2 1 4 4 3 3 4 3 2 1 |
Pct 68.1 67.6 63.8 62.2 61.8
61.5 60.4 60.0 59.7 59.6 58.5 58.5 58.5 56.9 56.7 56.3 56.1 55.9 55.6 55.6 |
Worst single season for a catcher in the set analyzed
Catcher Luis Pujols |
Year 1983 |
Team HOU |
SB2 41 |
CS2 2 |
SB3 2 |
CS3 0 |
Pct 4.4 |
Career best for percentage of runners thrown out by catcher
while trying to steal second or third. Seasons analyzed
same as above. Minimum 100 attempts.
Rank 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 |
Catcher Roy Campanella Lou Berberet Clay Dalrymple Sammy White Joe Azcue
Ivan Rodriguez Jim French Henry Blanco Del Crandall Dick Bertell |
SB2 158 50 269 61 240 352 82 75 152 152 |
CS2 217 53 253 52 201 305 77 66 124 123 |
SB3 21 4 37 5 23 46 11 11 15 13 |
CS3 24 5 24 6 25 35 2 7 13 12 |
Pct 57.4 51.8 47.5 46.8 46.2 46.1 45.9 45.9 45.1 45.0 |
Worst career percentage.
Catcher Ned Yost |
SB2 137 |
CS2 19 |
SB3 23 |
CS3 3 |
Pct 12.1 |
Overall percentage of runners thrown out by catchers while
trying to steal second or third. Every fifth year presented.
Year 1960 1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 |
MLB Pct 38.3 36.5 33.4 31.4 28.6 26.7 26.2 25.5 26.4 |
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