Chapter 16 : Theory and Structure of Interest Rates
 

Real and nominal interest rates
Fisher’s Law
     1 + i = ( 1 + r ) ( 1 + p)
             = 1 + r + p + rp
           i = r + p
 where i = nominal rate -- rate we see in newspaper or TV, include inflation rate
           r = real rate -- without inflation, adjusted for inflation
           p = inflation rate
 

I
Structure of Interest Rates
1. Base interest rate
interest on Treasury -- fixed benchmark i in USA and world
on-the-run issue --  most recently auctioned Treasury for a gain maturity (greater liquidity)
2. Risk Premium
i on non-treasury securities
     = spread + i on on-the-run Treasury securities (base i)
spread
    (a) reflect the additional risk investors face
    (b) risk premium
i on non-treasuries
    factors that affect spread
    (a) Issuer
    (b) Issuer’s perceived creditworthiness (credit risk)
    (c) term or maturity of the instrument (longer, the higher spread)
    (d) embedded option (callable, convertible)
    (e) Taxability of interest (municipal bond is exempt from tax so rate is lower)
    (f) liquidity of the issue (higher liquid or more volume give the lower rate)