With less
than 100 days to go before the fateful date, an offshore sports book
has opened a line of bets on various Y2K-related disasters.
Costa Rica-based NASA
International is taking online
wagers on events ranging from the likelihood of a major stock
market crash to aliens landing in the nation's capital in the new
millennium.
"It's really simple," said Greg Champion, NASA's CEO.
"If it's of interest, we'll open a line on it. There are odds on
everything."
The list of wagers and their respective odds are available on the
company's online sports book
in the Betting Lines section. They include:
Bank Failures: 1,000-1 that a Y2K glitch will shut down the
Federal Reserve for 24 hours or more; and 700-1 that Citibank, Hong
Kong Shanghai Banking Corp, USB, or the Dresdner Bank will close for
24 hours or more due to a Y2K glitch.
- Utility Meltdowns: 20-1 that a major US utility (serving
more than 200,000 customers) or a European telephone company will
shut down for 48 hours or more.
- Downed airliner: 300-1 that a Y2K failure will down a
commercial airliner.
- Stock Market crash: 30-1 that a Y2K event will cause the
Dow Jones Industrial Average to drop more than 200 points on the
first day of trading after the millennium.
- Firearm stockpiling: 200-1 that more firearms are sold in
the US in December 1999 than December 1998.
- Armageddeon: 1,000,000-1 that the world will end on 1
January 2000.
- Alien landing: 100,000-1 that aliens will land in
Washington on 1 January 2000.
The company, which also operates NASA
Casino, Cabaret Casino
(a girls and gaming site), Rock
Island Sports, and a sports book in San Pedro, California
employing more than 300 people, is also considering taking bets on a
Y2K-inspired mass suicide or shooting rampage, and the triggering of a
global recession.
In addition to Y2K bets, the online sports book is offering odds on
a variety of subjects, including the outcome of the Microsoft
antitrust trial, and whether Ricky Martin will announce he's gay.
"NASA wants to be the Lloyds of London of the wagering
industry," Champion declared. "If you want to insure your
legs, you go to Lloyds to do it because that's the only place to do
it. If anyone has a proposition they think is interesting, we'll do it
because we're the only ones who'll do it."
"Unfortunately, as morbid as some of them sound,"
Champion added. "There's a number that has got to be right."
Although online gambling is technically illegal under the Federal
Wire Act, there are no penalties for the bettor, only the bookie, said
John Sheck, vice president of government affairs at the American
Gaming Association.
"If I'm betting in my living room, the feds aren't going to
break down my door and drag me away," he said.
"It's OK in the office to bet on who President Clinton is
sleeping with," noted Pat Martin, director of external
communications at Harrahs, which
operates a chain of casinos. "But as an industry, we're not
allowed to do that."
As far as Champion is concerned, American citizens place online
bets at their own risk; and many do.
Champion urged potential customers to check the legality of betting
online in their respective states. He said enforcement varies greatly
from state to state but, in general, anti-online gambling statutes are
difficult to enforce.
"It's a very gray area," he said, "The laws are 100
percent unenforceable."
Nonetheless, the company has posted a warning to Indiana residents
on its Web site at the request of the state's Governor.
"We're licensed in Costa Rica, the UK and Russia,"
Champion added. "As far as we're concerned, we're licensed and
legal in the countries we do business in."
While it's illegal to gamble on most anything in the United States,
in Britain it's legal to put a wager on anything a bookie will accept.
And while most bookies tend to shy away from taking bets involving
death and disaster -- "We're quite ethical in the way we offer
bets," said Ed Nicholson, a Ladbrokes
spokesman -- companies like William
Hill are doing a brisk trade in Y2K-related bets, most of them
bizarre in nature:
- Hoax: The company is offering 100-1 odds that President
Clinton will confirm in 2000 that the 1969 moon landing was a
fake. William Hill spokesman Graham Sharpe said this is such a
popular bet, the opening odds of 1,000-1 have dropped to 500-1. He
said William Hill paid out 100,000 pounds in 1969 to punters
betting that a man would walk on the moon.
"If Clinton confirms it didn't happen, I suppose we should
go and ask those people for their money back," Sharpe joked.
- Resurrection: 1,000-1 on the Second Coming of Christ in
2000.
- UFOs over London: 50,000-1 that UFOs will land on
London's Millennium Dome
at midnight on 1 January.
- Chuck to get hitched: 100-1 that Prince Charles will
marry in the Millennium Dome during 2000. Charles can't remarry in
a church, reasoned Sharpe, making the Dome the perfect venue.
"It's not a million-to-one long shot, is it?" he said.
William Hill has taken plenty of bets that the world will end on or
around the turn the century. The bet is the only one where punters are
allowed to determine their own odds.
The bookie is also offering one punter and his pregnant wife odds
of 200-1 that their twins -- due 1 January -- will be born in
different centuries. The bet is conditional on the punter agreeing to
publicity, a clause he is still mulling, said Sharpe.
However, the company won't take a bet on where the first millennium
baby will be born.
"Pretty soon you'd find skullduggery involved," Sharpe
said.