……………………………………Let’s
Talk Jobs
Here in
Canada there should be more of a focus on jobs. What the people want is more jobs
and more better jobs. Going forward there are several ways the labour market could be improved with better government policy
and better government management. These mechanisms are:
-
Strategic training to meet the proverbial labour shortages that business always
complains about. A start would be to get the numbers right: to figure out the growth, retirement and training stream size.
-
A good jobs boom that’s coming from baby boom retirement of skilled and
professional workers that can be captured if we get training right.
-
A good jobs boom that’s coming from baby boom retirement of unionized
workers at larger corporations and government.
-
More appropriately immigration; the right number at the right time at the right
place.
-
Training the next generation of Canadians instead of relying on skilled and
professional immigrants.
-
Enhancing internal migration from the regions by tighter labour markets in
destination cities.
-
A tighter labour market would atrophy the worst employers; this is the traditional
Knowledge Economy where people move up the ladder to high tech jobs at the cost of worst jobs. (This is how Japan industrialized.)
-
A better economy would raise the defacto market minimum wage significantly;
to Alberta levels which reports are is $12 an hour, could
be.
-
A shrinking labour force due to the aging population will reduce unemployment
in the depressed regions but help the remaining workers there. The shrinking labour force is a solution, not a problem.
-
And of course economic growth going forward, something Canadians have embraced
with the almost inflationless growth since 1990.
The list
of benefits from tight labour markets and better employment is also comprehensive. These are:
-Better
employer relations with tighter labour markets. High unemployment encourages abusive employers. In particular tight employment
encourages the sought after on-the-job training.
-Testing
for people who are hidden unemployed, nominally 9% of adults nationally as of 2009. This is overlooked by Statistics Canada.
Alberta’s higher employment in 2008 indicates that
is how slack the labour force is and this should be tested for in other bailiwicks.
-Significantly
higher government revenues would come from getting more people working, dropping back into the labour force, that 9%. This
should be the main mechanism to balance government budgets - rather than more taxes and social program cuts.
-Productivity
improvements from labour pressure, this would mainly be at the bottom where productivity is not always good.
-More
retired baby boomers working, less involuntary part-time employment, and less anemic self-employment.
-Getting
underemployed skilled and professionals, including recent immigrants, into the jobs they need and deserve. We all know people
that have not been able to get a job in their area of training, it’s the modern situation. This is particularly a problem
for young people facing a career choice and costly training.
-Fewer
low wage jobs, which are significantly net subsidized in the Canadian nanny state.
-Slower
economic growth in the mega-cites from tight labour markets. The main cities are already too big and expensive. This is environmentally
sound policy as well.
-Tighter
labour markets in the main cities of Canada
would encourage businesses to relocate to more economical regions.
-Recession
resistant labour markets and foreign competition and foreign disaster resistant labour markets. A high level of labour force
participation is a prime social mechanism for fighting recessions as better off people will drop out of the labour market
in tough times and leave job openings for the bread winners.
There
is a lot of attitude around that Canada
is fine, we’re a rich country and the economy is just the economy which little can be done about. Meanwhile the “real”
unemployment is high, low wages are pervasive, it seems most people are really insecurely employed and half the country doesn’t
have a proper pension plan. People turn a discrete blind eye to all this, even as it affects friends and family. So, yes,
these problems affect just about everyone in the country and jobs are as volatile politically as taxes. Taken together, the
mechanisms listed above are enough for the government to do some contouring of the labour force and the labour markets and
without massive spending. So we can work on more jobs and more better jobs going forward with thoughtful programs. We can
work on a complex of ideas, which empirical economists are not particularly good at analyzing: moving people around, putting
pressure on businesses and getting more people out of their house and into the labour force. The opportunity is huge.