chronological order of entry is the most recent at the top of the page
its not just putin that’s the problem, its half the russian population
“ as long as i don’t have to go to the front line i don’t feel any need to do anything except talk vacuous nonsense ”
more intelligent than the average liberal arts undergraduate
no wonder they need woke
to differentiate them
i think prince harry was traumatised much more than he realizes by killing all those men in afghanhistan, especially since the western military intervention there has been shown to be so wrong minded
it amazes me how many wars were obviously problematic at the outset if you looked at a map
this is one of the most unbelievable things i have seen, 2013 and volodymyr zelenskyy is performing in a russian new year’s eve show with vladimir solovyov applauding (both ashkenazi jews btw)
solovyov is now a particularly virulent mouthpiece for kremlin propaganda on his prime time chat show
no wonder the russians underestimated zelensky
happier days for everyone, but the ruling clique in russia was getting caught up in a grandiose delusion and couldn’t let things be
slavs killing slavs, how can there be any winners, just the dead on both sides and a destroyed slav country
gangs are in effect territorial militias, if your legislation is pandering to their legality, you are making a rod for your own back
queensland is leading the way in making proactive legislation to defeat this threat to social order
militias are in effect, governments in waiting
putin’s big mistake was to allow the separatists in the donbas in 2014 to hijack the russian agenda and create a festering sore of conflict that poisoned relations with the ukraine as well as taking a significant russian population out of the ukraine hence increasing nationalist influence there
his other big mistake was not to annex belarus so its economy and military could be strengthened and provide a much more material support to russia and increase russia’s protrusion into europe
anybody can see this, the lesson is autocracies with incompetent leaders may give an illusory stability for a while, but egregiously bad decisions lie around the corner making populaces suffer
i’m just viewing things from what would have worked for russia and putin, not condoning it, what they actually did is a blind probing by idiots !
the key lesson napoleon took from the battle of zunta (which if had been lost would completely have changed european history making it much more ottoman) was that you should force a split or wait until the enemy forces are split themselves for whatever reason and cannot help each other and attack their reduced forces
basically the battle was won by the superior tactical skills of prince eugene of savoy
interestingly, this is why the duke of wellington said the result of the battle of waterloo was a close call since it was the arrival of von blücher’s army that changed the battle in the seventh coalition’s favour and was napoleon’s greatest fear
from this you can see that putin’s strategy in the ukraine was fundamentally flawed, he cannot stop the resupply of the ukraine through poland, and belarus, while a client state of russia refuses to join the war, putin years ago needed to have annexed belarus so its army operated under russian command and this would have made the russian attack more fully on two fronts which would have put the ukraine is a very difficult situation despite russia being a generation behind in its weaponry
lukashenko has a reputation for being wily as a fox and NATO has a lot to thank him for
instead, russia is having to deal with the ukraine on a single front and cannot stop resupply through poland
being attacked on two or more fronts being a certain signal of eventual defeat is a lesson that germany only seems to have learnt after two world wars
russia’s recent escalation of drone attacks on ukrainian infrastructure can be looked at as the successful opening up of a new front against the urkaine, interestingly the drones had to come from a country outside russia’s own military infrastructure which says a lot about the state of russian weaponry
this is one of the problems of russia going on nuclear alert, the "governance" of the top echelons of command over the lower are so poor that an unintended initiation of a first strike attempt by russia would be on the cards which was why, even at the height of the cuban missile crisis russia never went on the alert level for its missiles, but had them all stood down
this is one of the hard facts about MAD, bluffs have to be called and so the risk of a weapons exchange happening is not zero, but the prize is a nuclear peace, so preferable to our human history of constant warfare
putin is suffering a form of subtle dementia or late onset schizophrenia and the russian federation has no mechanism for his replacement
its really like science fiction, the appearance of democracy ie some matrix like simulation decoying the population from the fact of autocracy
even the usual mutineers aiming to replace the autocrat with another autocrat are decoyed
putin is very like stalin, in fact there’s been no leader so like stalin and i guess his fate will be the same
one day it will be announced that putin has died from a health condition but in fact executed like stalin and after a bit of infighting a new autocrat will emerge
president xi jinping has completely changed the game for russia by saying in effect that if russia uses the nuclear bomb on the ukraine, it may move on some of their disputed boundary
you can argue as to responsibility for the background to the russo-ukraine war, but its all water under the bridge, russia is now too exposed to potential chinese aggression and other border issues because of over-investment in the ukraine war, putin must be demented to have got into this situation, that’s the trouble with autocracy, things are only as good as sanity at the top
the problem with tsar nicholas the second was you couldn’t find a person less competent to lead russia and there was no system for getting rid of him
the same with putin, no person less competent to run russian foreign policy with his mid twentieth century KGB ideas and no system to get rid of him
russia seems to bounce through extremes and its break up is not in the interests of the west
a way of looking at the russo-ukraine war is the absurdity of two russian speaking nations fighting each other, like there are too many russian speakers in the world
the problem of the ukrainian war is the same problem since WW1, you selectively kill your best people, alcoholics and drug addicts have more sense than to enlist or be conscripted
war for most of human history was quite different, death was much more uniform across the entire population and young men could get fortunes to settle down with
the selective killing of modern war was the driver for the various euthanasia of "defectives" movements after world war 1
one of the weird things as you get older and i am talking post-60 is the way people your age start to fall away through health problems and losing their grip on things mentally which is what i think has happened in russia, putin doesn’t have dementia but there is some significant cognitive impairment, what he has already worked out he still has some competence at but with something new like invading a country he is completely at sea while retaining his ability to keep "social control", a bad combination for everybody as it turns out
china appears to be on the same road
a riveting account by a recently mobilized russian soldier from sakhalin of how he was put on the front line without adequate training and is now wounded
what amazes me is how its not perceived as civil war which is what it really is, similar culture and races focused on nothing but killing each other
the only beneficiary is us in the pacific being forewarned against china
basically one man is bringing two countries to ruin, how can he stay in power ?
there must be others who think as mistakenly as him
the chinese can be as crazy or crazier than anyone else if you look at their current political system and history
tattoo inks are unregulated and contain nano-particles, carcinogens and toxins
heavily tattooed people always have mental and physical health issues, its a form of self injury
also i count the usually extraordinarily bad art as toxic
why be a billboard for an idiot forever ?
north korea with a very limited nuclear strike capability has kept china from invading
the russo-ukrainian war is giving a superb example of how it works with an invading power that has nuclear weapons against a country that does not
basically the threat of using nuclear weapons keeps any allies of the country being invaded out and restricted to indirect help
taiwan needs its own nuclear weapons as matter of urgency, there’s no getting around it, and longer term so does australia
its funny how the main lesson of the cold war has been lost, that the russian high command doesn’t have complete control of launching, that lower levels of command or in the case of cuba, that fidel castro could hijack the command makes any escalation by russia very fraught, the politburo appreciated this because over the whole of the cuba crisis russia never went onto nuclear standby
it was so disturbing to russia that nikita khrushchev was eventually sacked because of it
what is unusual about putin is he is really the leader with the most power/control since stalin and i would say at this point he doesn’t seem in sound mind, maybe a degree of dementia, who knows
the russians got it all wrong from the start, they should have never permitted the separatists to rebel against ukraine in the donetsk and the real low hanging fruit was belarus which they could have annexed without complaint and from a strategic point of view would have greatly strenghtened their hand against the ukraine forcing a much better possible deal for them over the crimea
i think putin is if he is able to will drop a nuclear bomb on the ukraine, he’s pretty much a dead man if he doesn’t, the question is whether he will be able to stay in power long enough to do this and just russia going on nuclear standby means things get very scary
the nuclear drill he has ordered is the first step to that, can we look forward to more strontium-90 in the atmosphere ?
there is an irrationality to the russian foreign policy and war aims that is disturbing
slavs killing slavs, histories old old story
lenin was a theoretician for mass murder, stalin wasn’t something new, he was lenin’s faithful pupil
i have only read lenin recently, he’s really interesting, not at all like i thought, he’s very intelligent but absolutely brutal in what you have to do to get to the "final goal", a literal "we had to destroy them to save them" and actually he’s not a particular fan of the "working class"
socialism runs the span from the mass murder of the population to today’s "social democracies"
the problem in its more extreme form is the state cannot competently control the economy so everyone ends up very poor except the ruling clique and total repression is need to stop the population rebelling
lenin really wrote the textbook on how an unpopular minority group takes and holds power
some of it highly intelligent, but you can see he was aware of the necessity to kill people on an industrial scale
he also comes across as schizophrenic and as it turned out, criminally insane
peter greenham’s portrait of queen elizabeth, its her best i think, touching on the surreal, no wonder it didn’t go down well with the commissioners
when i look at these quotes by vladimir lenin, much more than marx he provided the axioms for stalinism and dictatorship within soviet russia and the union, they are not unintelligent , but no holds barred "brutal" , its power without any moral compass which of course is what happened
“ One man with a gun can control 100 without one ”
“ There are no morals in politics; there is only expedience. A scoundrel may be of use to us just because he is a scoundrel ”
yet another pope has become senile , the catholic church doesn’t shoot itself in the foot so much as in the head in its constant discrediting of itself
well he’s the first one for a while who isn’t gay
brad warner "on tour" in finland was saying the place a weird vibe compared to when he had been there before
you are in a country that shares a very long border with a country that nato (finland will be a nato member in a month) is in a very real proxy war with, its gotta have a weird vibe, its actually a very big change for finland, basically the country is about to become a protagonist in a war compared to its previous policy of appeasement
it is looking increasingly like the assassination of darya dugina was the work of a ukrainian undercover group
from a pragmatic viewpoint it will be startlingly successful as a propaganda weapon in bring home to the russians there is a war going on and russia will have to mobilize to win it
this means russia will become a very different and uncomfortable country to live in, and actually putin mightn’t be in power in that, more like some sort of military junta
it was even more successful in missing its possibly primary target alexander dugin, discrediting him as man who sacrificed his daughter for some ill thought-out and dated ideas
drug dealers effectively run robbery and burglary operations because that is how they are funded
i suppose drugs are in effect, a currency
russian casualties are more in the area of WW2 than the usual modern warfare, nobody (at least on the russian youtube videos ) seems to mention this or have any concern about it
probably its too dangerous for them
putin is the leader most like stalin since him, but a watered down version without the social control that stalin had, so lacking that and the "war" dragging on i would say his days are numbered
russia has never recovered from stalin and beria; the gulags and WW2
its best men lost and taken out of the genetic pool
the effects of war are never controllable
the history of the middle east, eastern europe and northern africa is one of constant war and armies and enslavement shifting populations around and some of it pretty extreme like scandinavian mercenaries serving as bodyguards for the byzantium emperors so the populations are going to be exceptionally racially mixed
i always find it the most amazing thing about war, once a victor is sorted out the dead and injured are written off and everything settles back to normal, just with a new controlling hierarchy class if the defender lost
my observation of the american foreign service is its inability to understand different cultures, the middle east, iraq/syria and afgahnistan being prime examples and getting overinvolved in cot-case situations and being behind the eight ball in situations that are more productive of involvement
the usa’s major issue currently is the need for japan, taiwan and australia to have nuclear weapons because "the cold war" doctrine of "mutually assured destruction" is the only thing that’s going to work to keep the peace in tomorrow's world, politically unpalatable as it is in some quarters
kleptocracy is the worst of all political worlds, it lacks the adaptability of democracy and the competence of a so shall we say bonapartian dictatorship
russia and north korea are today’s outstanding kelptocracies and in fact china has also become one, a consequence of which is it is internally facing the same expansionist pressures as russia
the invasion of the ukraine was really the consequence of a political dialogue in previous years in which russia opted for kleptocracy rather than democracy and was clearly lacking the economic mass to sustain itself militarily and economically with the inefficiencies of the kleptocratic system
an interesting way to think about the ukraine conflict is to personify russia and ask how it looks at things
it wouldn’t know anything of putin but might say it was too small to support itself adequately and needed to be larger
the make-up team has created a model in looks who sounds like helen clark, dissonant
its that highly skilled "evasion" helen was such a master of
well, arden is a protege of clark and this is what makes her such a formidably successful politician, clark’s mentoring accelerated arden’s political development by thirty years so what you see is an illusory make-over, a younger woman of 42 years who is in fact a very seasoned and experienced politician of about sixty in terms of political skill, supercompetent in that respect and almost impossible to defeat give the rest of new zealand’s very run of the mill "political talent"
i’m not really political, what is interesting is the profound impact quality mentoring can have, parallels in history are aristotle’s tutoring of alexander the great and socrates of critias, i think its the association of socrates with critias (a leader of the thirty tyrants) that was the underlying reason for his execution
history and these people would be different if not for the power of what you might call "supernormal" mentoring
of course the flip side can be seen in some aspects of the education system with what in effect amounts to "malign mentoring"
the problem with afghanistan and all the billions of wasted military money is it was surrounded by countries unfriendly to the usa, that includes pakistan which is crazy ambiguous at best
interestingly this is why russia has such a problem with the ukraine which is able to be resupplied through poland, that should have been a big alarm bell for the russians but their leadership is too old and has lost the plot, its just a question of time before putin is removed from power as the russian casualties mount
intervention in afghanistan should have only ever been at the level of intelligence and foreign services
down here in the pacific there's no question that china is becoming a "hegemon" and the only thing that will stop it is australia, taiwan and japan getting nuclear weapons, australia is on the road to getting them, but could be 10 or fifteen years away
history shows empires always feel the need to expand so russia and china as a problem are here to stay
the real reason russia invaded the ukraine is they needed the larger economic mass an annexation of the ukraine would give them, but of course they are so stupid they are destroying all the infrastructure
when there is a lack of rational consideration by one of the parties in international politics, things can get very brutal for the populations involved and actually NATO and the USA’s involvement at a military level in afghanistan was not rational and its not like history wasn’t shouting, "don’t go there"
a subtle malnutrition
slavs killing slavs, stalin and beria at least were georgian, but putin ?
the new zealand ACT MP david seymour has a good point about using the tax department to investigate "gangs", al capone was eventually imprisoned for failing to file tax returns, it was the only way they could get him
seymour is showing labour’s "gang friendly" biases up which actually has deep leftish ideological roots going back to the early soviet era with its persecution of the "kulaks" and glorification of criminality
he really has them over a barrel on this, i hope he’s not put off by the response as the media tries to freeze him out
"gangs" are a new government "in waiting"
moscow in summer
you’d hardly believe
it is a country at war
only the death
of friends and relatives
can break the façade
highly precise long range rockets have changed the nature of warfare as profoundly as aircraft did
the highly intelligent insane
stalin, hitler, mao, genghis khan
a scourge like no other
large states always require more territory and resources, this study fits well with russia’s attempt to annex the whole of the ukraine to bolster its food supply, population, technology and industry so as provide the strength to resist NATO and china
though the invasion was born in hubris, it was also a sign of the desperation of russia’s current position as no longer a superpower yet hemmed on two sides by more formidable opponents
big gods , one of the discounted models, hypothesis 14, 3/5 down the page
the core problem of marxism is that the disenfranchisement of the self-organization of economic life cannot be adequately replaced
that economic activity "self-organises" if not interfered with is in effect what adam smith calls "the invisible hand"
i prefer "self-organising" as the way to express this because it fits with modern ideas of adaptive complex systems and is biological rather than the laws of physics, it just doesn’t happen "to be", but has internal feedback loops to keep things on track
as it turns out , in practice the replacement is always some form of state control that is so perverse and woefully inadequate that the most brutal suppression of a rebelling populace suffering from scarcities is necessary
i think what he was attempting to remedy were the working and social conditions of the working class in victorian england, problems that to large extent new technologies and improved education and health knowledge eventually solved
one can compare marxism as a sort off the shelf tool for making apocalyptic dystopias compared to the more organic idiosyncratic nationalist tailored nazism, different roads to the same end
the problem with modern war is you kill the able-bodied young on who the future rests, while the alcoholics, drug addicts, criminal element and otherwise problematic all survive , russia lost entire generations of the young in world war two, has nobody learnt anything ?
i guess you can view russia’s current government as "the criminal element" being thieves and murderers, interestingly stalin had no trouble with that view of himself
they do have a basic point, that social attitudes to gender have a normative reproductive basis, which is just one possible attitude amongst many from an existential point of view, and even the notion of gender itself is constructed, of course reifying into its various existential forms amongst which we have normative and trans.
the problem is its elevation into the overriding ethical concern when especially in the context of social work there is so much extreme harm in other areas already occurring that are not being remedied
basically it seems like the elevation of a relatively trivial matter and a denial of much more substantive issues.
the other point is that if society loses its reproductive focus on gender identity that at an extreme it will depopulate and in the human evolutionary context any "tribe" that this happened to was likely to be decimated by more numerous neighbours
i think the central issue is not the imposition of a different definition of sexual identity, though that definition is, in my view no less flawed than what it replaces, but the avoidant nature of the implicit denial of hugely larger harm constantly occurring in the arena that social work attempts to remedy
what i would predict is such attitudes will go nowhere because they are so directly in conflict with a societies need for continued reproductive success, which of necessity must triumph, this is not say this view has more philosophical validity, rather its an existential necessity
i have to say that the declamatory redefinition of "gender" espoused by these people is a miracle of sanity compared to some of the society-wide historical religious attitudes that have occurred
the outstanding military weakness of china is the very high population density of its eastern seaboard
a few nuclear bombs would cause untold destruction, this the leadership of north korea have realised to their credit and have already created an effective deterrent, limited as it is
it seem the western world has forgotten what it worked out in the cold war, that its only "mutually assured destruction" that stops wars like the ukraine
australasia has about five or six years to get a nuclear deterrent in place, let’s see how uncomfortable things have to get before that’s done
if china takes taiwan it gives it an unparalleled degree of geopolitical and economic hegemony
a rather fascinating look at the way world war 2 was fought in europe , the movements of controlled territory
the tide of the war clearly turned in the allies favour by december 1942 and if hitler had the slightest sense should have attempted to consolidate their russian position into something defensible and sue for peace, but war has its own inertia as the russians are finding out now in the ukraine
snatching defeat from the jaws of victory
the battle of keresztes
there’s several things disturbing about new zealand at the moment beyond the imminent alpine fault cracking with wellington experimentally about to be a testimony to building code effectiveness
the most important one is the failure of the education system to create employment skills from a very young age, in medieval england, boys aged eleven used to leave home and go and live with a craft master to develop their trade, children mature much earlier now so really the ball has to be set rolling much younger, the current education system only develops skills for academia
there is a very limited time window for children to take on the necessary employment skills for life and 15 is way too late to start, the academic world is different, but most people are not academically inclined nor is it useful for anything except a tiny minority to be so
a more abstract concern is a governmental /political attempt to alter the use of the english language, historically this has been associated with periods of outright political and social insanity
interestingly stalin was well aware that sergei eisenstein’s film ivan the terrible was a direct criticism of him, but in a way it also glorified him, he did respect eisenstein’s ability as a director and did intervene to protect some writers like bulgakov, sholokov and pasternak, even osip mandelstham
you just have to read about ivan’s life to see the russian thinking behind their invasion of the ukraine and putin in fact has scripted a surprising amount of things from ivan and joseph, but the soviet world with its complete control of information and the bloody mailed fist of the secret police isn’t there to the same extent any more and i think basically he has lost control of the situation
a good youtube on ivan
last day of the war
disturbingly prescient of russian cluster and thermobaric bombing in the ukraine
the bomber used in the animation is very russian, with the contrarotating propellers and pseudo ground effect wings
the problem with russia is the way it sets on its own
i have a theory that when you redefine a meaning away from common usage, its a sign of "mental illness"
like redefining "war" as "special operation"
of course that would make soviet-era russia, nothing but a hotbed of mental illness which proved to be the case
the problem with the texas shooting of 19 children and the tardy action by the police is that the police are not trained militarily, they are a right to be cautious about their own lives, the use by the shooter of a military grade assault rifle means you are basically faced with needing a response by militarily trained troops or equivalent
machine guns are banned as an obvious problem, but it doesn’t seem to be understood that semi-automatic assault rifles are in school shooting situations more lethal because they don’t require belts of ammunition to be carried by the shooter
interestingly, its possible to understanding the cultural reluctance of texas to ban assault rifles because of its historical indian and mexican wars where the citizenry needed guns
however this is politics, things have to go through extremes before anything is done, australia and new zealand are the hidden beneficiaries of the ukraine war, it now being obvious the direction china’s expansionism is heading and in my view nothing short of australasia having a nuclear deterrent will stop china, the ukraine’s fatal mistake was giving up the nuclear missiles it inherited when the soviet union broke up, russia kept its missiles and the ukraine didn’t, its that simple
russia, where its foreign policy is run by a female tv presenter
she’s a murderous bitch in make-up
you can bet your bottom rouble that no children of the "elite" are fighting in the ukraine
what drugs and alcohol do to the brain
johnny depp is making an idiot of himself in front of the entire world at his own cost
a very interesting interview with henry kissinger, who i know from the failure of the vietnam war which was always a lost cause, however he talks a lot of sense and in particular raises the question about russia’s inability as a nuclear power to walk away from defeat by the non-nuclear ukraine, actually as the usa did in vietman and afghanistan
we could yet see a low megatonnage bomb dropped in the ukraine which would effectively end the war in russia’s favour, which would create a huge "earthquake" in the modern geopolitical landscape
international politics is pretty brutal, it always has been, you can’t have fluffy ideas about making the world "a better place", the best you can do is look after your own security and get some degree of "win-win" interaction with your adversaries, which actually is, i think, kissinger’s viewpoint
new zealand thinks it is well away from any potential conflict, but i would pick australia as being able to deliver nuclear warheads within ten years, new zealand’s problem is if china attempted to annex new zealand, would australia be prepared to risk its own annihilation in the defence of new zealand ?
if this seems far fetched, please understand china’s strategic interest has always been to pick off "islands" first, easy to see actually with current events, however i feel kissinger’s advice about keeping up with various forms of economic and cultural engagement with the "adversary" while increasing defence and offensive capability moderates more extreme dangers
the australasian/pacific security situation is necessarily "a mixed bag", don’t expect it to be any other, oversimplified views go down the traumatic path of "correction"
the west, intent on demonising north korea has completely overlooked what it has right, which is, limited though its nuclear capability is, its enough to keep china from annexing it, which given the preoccupation of russia and the west in the ukraine has created an opportune window for china
charles dicken’s people
the victorian developmental crisis
short of vitamin D
another interesting video by stasha gominak
why putin stopped the inevitable massacre of the ukranian defenders trapped in the underground tunnels of the azovstal steel plant
the publicity couldn’t get any worse, its what the nazis did to the soviets in adzhimushkay in 1942
a ray of light must be getting through to him
the surprising beneficiaries of the russia-ukraine war are new zealand, australia, taiwan, japan and south korea because the war shows that against a nuclear hegemonic power, if you don’t have nuclear weapons you can deliver yourself, its no show
and actually you don’t need a lot in the way of nuclear weapons and a delivery system which is what north korea shows
the populations of new zealand and australia have to get their heads around this, though of course new zealand sneaks by under the protection of australia
the ukraine’s mistake was made after the break-up of the soviet union when it let the usa and russia remove the nuclear weapons it inherited and its paying a terrible price
the unusual aspect of the current conflict is it is less like the implementation of foreign policy and more like a civil war, putin’s mother nearly starved to death and his brother died during the siege of st. petersburg, you would think he would be more sensitive to what is happening in the ukraine
china must be royally pissed with russia invading the ukraine because now everybody knows what their invasion of taiwan would look like and china has only to raise their nuclear weapons alert status to sideline any help in the form of troops
nobody seem to notice what north korea does well and that is prevent an invasion by china with very limited, but actual nuclear weapons capability
japan, taiwan and australia must necessarily have their own nuclear capability with 5 years or there will be trouble like being on the losing end of a war, if the usa has any sense it will facilitate this transfer
new zealand of course drifts along under australian protection
putin has done everyone except the ukraine and possibly china a big favour by his precipitate action, i think the world had forgotten how nuclear weapons are fundamental to the relative "warlessness" of recent decades
you only have to read medieval history to see how bad things can be, i think its in our genes and its all to do with territorial competition between groups within a species at the top of the food chain, lions are a good example, their major enemies are other prides and they kill each other regularly, females and cubs are not excluded from this
is a dimension
mainland china has become a police state dictatorship, no wonder taiwan doesn’t want any part of that
the problem russia has is between the various terrors and its casualness with lives during WW2 is it destroyed the most productive portion of its population and cretinized the gene pool
stalin and beria, those two demons of murderous competence
obsessed with the ghislaine maxwell trial
another school shooting 4 killed and seven injured
the story of "noah’s ark" is babylonian mythology picked up by jewish scribes in the captivity and stems from the many disastrous floods of the euphrates
judaism , like christianity is a patchwork of "the borrowed" fashioned into the supposedly "incontrovertible"
the thing is there’s only an ocean between china, the usa and australia
if you ignore the ocean, they are all next door neighbours
it will take an powerful military alliance to contain china and that’s what’s happening
in its hey day the yuan dynasty got as far as java
it was only stopped by losing in battle and i think that also applies now, only the battles are different, cyberwarfare and control of strategic islands, interestingly i think new zealand can be included as an easy island target except for the strong cultural bond with australia
i don't think the chinese are in any position militarily to launch an invasion of taiwan yet, but in five years ?
there is an achilles heels with china’s need to build nuclear powerstations, they are very vulnerable targets to missile attack
for all their lauding of wagner’s opera "the ring"
the nazis paid no attention to the ending
below is my reply to brad’s vlog about a hatchet job being done on him at a conference
you are dealing with a form of woke
i get pestered here (ed. brad’s vlog) by "belligerent man" because i don’t conform to whatever "woke" views he has (which are obscure) , as far as i can work out his goal is to save the "zen world" from me
there’s something wrong with their heads because they are utterly unable to dialogue or negotiate
everybody here has very different views, but most people can discuss differences at least, "woke" weaponizes viewpoints which are not negotiable and you can see this in political extremes like nazism and marxist-leninism
the mistake is to try to understand it in the everyday context of constant negotiation, but in fact they just use "negotiation" to try to harm you because the reality is the weaponization of opinion and in different sorts of societies especially historically, you would run the risk of being assassinated
"true mysticism" is always in conflict with the overt semantic vehicles of religion
the "supposed" chinese propaganda film battle at lake changjin is actually subtly "anti-war" in that you would never want to be part of what occurred on either side
if you dig a bit deeper , it was in a fact a pivotal battle that so weakened the chinese military that the south was able to maintain its territorial integrity in the longer term
i bet its not being shown in north korea, whose missile program is not to antagonise the west, but keep out the chinese who considered invading it around the year 2000
the CCP is basically a "bolshevik" party
if you understand the implications of that, you would run a mile
the russian bolsheviks took one of europe’s most vibrant economies and trashed it
the CCP went through a menshevik phase with deng xiaoping and now its going more "bolshevik" again
north korea is a good example of what total "bolshevikism" does, what path china treads will be interesting to see
one of the interesting things about foreign policy is its binary nature, its usually done very wrong or very right
when its done right there is a huge amplification of positive consequences, but when done wrong (vietnam, iraq, afghanistan) its very destructive
in recent years it has amazed me the number of times the west has ened up fighting what in geopolitical terms were its true friends (which would include saddam hussein)
international politics is brutal and not necessarily rational, sentimentality has no place in it
if you don’t think china’s territorial aggression is a problem, the reason the US and allies are vacating afghanistan is to focus on china, though of course it was just crazy them being there in the first place, just how crazy the next couple of years will show when they become buddies with the taliban since that’s where the geopolitical interest lies
politics is so imperfect a beast, it can never be got right
well, history does repeat itself
foreign policy advisers never seem to bone up on a countries’ history before going to war do they ?
china’s 9 dash line and designs on taiwan make a lot of sense if you can see it has re-entered one of its many imperial phases and has only ever been stopped by defeat in battle, though the "battles" may have a different character today, a more subtle use of force like conscripting reefs as military bases and cyberwarfare
because duelling has been banned for a few centuries now, we don’t understand what a menace it was, the best and brightest killed
pushkin and lermantov are egregious examples, there are many others
the big deals today for the usa and allies are protecting taiwan from china and the usa needs to drastically upgrade its cybersecurity, it should be a huge deal that the russians penetrated the usa's nuclear missile control as they did a little while back
the major powers are already in a sort of cyberwar and business is being dragged into it, the usa needs to import more programmers and fund a major defense software effort
this is a good video explaining what went wrong in vietnam and actually its also what went wrong in afghanistan
julius caesar should never have invaded spain, but should have let his enemies (the optimates) remain there out in the open, rather than get stabbed to death by them a year later
the battle of thapsus
5000 years of mother’s with sons at war
there is quite a different scenario where germany and japan could have won WW2
they would have combined their weapons programs and produced the atomic bomb
they would have worked together strategically in the invasion of russia and japan, probably with germany’s advice would never have taken on the americans directly
this "synchronising" would have to have started in the early 1930’s, but fortunately the advantages and necessity were not realised until about 1943, way too late
after watching quite a few holocaust survivor videos, i really am in agreement with hannah arendt and martin heidegger, the holocaust was created as much by the passivity of judaism as anti-semitism, particularly in eastern europe where people were much more religiously jewish
the religion had been moulded around survival during "mild" pogroms, the passivity may have been survival oriented in the face of what occurred historically and it must be remembered that the aristocratic rulers usually stepped in to stop the harassment of a very productive portion of their subjects, but with democracy that changed, the brutality of working class sentiment emerged as a hugely potent force with the consequences we now know as the holocaust
the destruction of the most productive portion of their population who fought loyally during world war one doomed germany from the start, just like japan’s problems with incompetent seniority running its war
there’s an interesting contrast between hitler who was not personally sadistic and the people implementing his ideas at the lower levels who were
neither was stalin, but beria was
theoreticians versus implementers
the botez sisters have never taken drugs
so much of the net is deadhead drug takers its unbelievable
super entitled and in your face
selling their pathetic validity
some-one i know in the usa is involved in the political unrest and protest movement
my view given the lack of ideological coherence is that this is anarchist and history shows that anarchists always come off worse
this has been the case for him, its interesting that history shows such a consistent pattern
the problem with anarchism is its too unstable socially so is always going to fall victim to a more organised socially stable ideology which would then view anarchism as a competitor or threatening its own existance
by socially stable, i don’t exclude incredibly brutal regimes like stalinism or maoism since they do maintain social order of a type, i’m not saying all socially stable systems are desirable, its just they punch with more weight than anarchism
in western society the threat to the existing social order is not anarchism or any ideology but organised criminals who would quickly evolve into warlords if given the chance, i guess mexico is partly down this road
gangs are actually nascent armies under potential warlords, the police and law are all that’s between a stable society and a murderous mayhem
when you look at the battleship yamato, just be thankful the japanese imperial navy put $16 billion into that and her sister ship the musashi and not their nascent nuclear weapons program
trench warfare was not introduced in WW1, the sieges of vienna and candia were based on ottoman strengths in that form of warfare
diplomacy is interesting because of its lack of moral judgment, there really is no right or wrong, its the view of history
hamas is a police state like iran, under the control of militias
it survives financially because it is a proxy paid to wage war against israel on behalf of funding arab states and iran
every five years it gets its infrastructure partially destroyed by israel and then the donor funding is used to rebuild
more like scicnce fiction than reality
“ US warns China it will fight for the Philippines ”
reading coded diplomatic language
diplomatic language is very indirect
what they are saying here is not that they will go to war over the philippines, since nobody, not even the philippines will go to war over such a poor and difficult to manage country, but that the US will to go war if china attempts to invade taiwan
so the philippines becomes the arguing point, but the invasion of taiwan is always the backdrop
since australia and new zealand will be dragged in, it should be of interest, i don’t think come to the crunch that australia is at all reluctant to fight
nz less so but would still join in
marxism in all its various forms, doesn’t and can’t work because it tries to turn the vectors of competence and self interest against their natural directions
this is why the political entities trying to enforce it as doctrine have to resort to extreme brutality
you can see similar thematic mistakes being made with today’s "neo-marxism" and its prioritizing or sanctifying human emotional realities over "objective"
history always has the same theme, the "oppressed" when "enabled" , go on to become the "oppressors" , human nature is territorial and group oriented and in those contexts, exceedingly brutal and it will never be any different
the most utopian of any political system, marxism, ended up the most brutal, if that doesn’t tell you something then you are not wanting to see my conclusion
results always subvert intention
china’s history is periods of internal division interspersed with periods of imperial expansion
we are seeing the second phase emerge again
historically it has only been stopped by force, hopefully the modern world is sufficently different that it doesn’t come to that
stalin and hitler both killed more of their countrymen by bad strategical and tactical errors in world war two than was possible by intentional means
i don’t know why south korea, japan, taiwan and australia don’t take the obvious lesson from north korea, that they are developing the atomic bomb to keep china out, and the limited success they have had to date has been enough to stop them being invaded
its certainly the way china and north korea perceive it for all the bru-ha about the south
china’s huge coastal population densities make it very vulnerable to atomic warfare
if you look at history, china as an empire (which it hasn’t been for two centuries but is now again) , has always been territorially expansionist, stopped only by defeat in battle
interestingly the yuan dynasty got as far as java , while china’s south sea claims are not reasonable in today’s world, they are thinking back to historical glory
the country most like george orwell’s 1984 , didn’t exist when he wrote it, its like he called north korea into being
israel has emerged the clear winner in the current gaza conflict (ed. may 2021), this time it has inflicted enough damage to cause major repercussions for hamas, yet no doubt hamas with its arab and iranian funding will hang on, and police states like gaza and north korea only go when invaded, oppression is a wonder worker for remaining in power and really the general population has no effective defence against organised cruelty
the big benefit to israel of hamas and the gaza strip situation remaining as it is, is the continued adverserial separation of the two palestinian nations, why do you think israel has not invaded the gaza strip and put in place a more popular and democratic government ?
hamas to have any chance requires missiles with larger warheads (nuclear of course would be a game changer and why there is such concern about iran being able to make them) , pinhead accuracy and the ability to avoid anti-missile defences, which is at least four or five generations of development away and anyway, faced with that the israelis would just invade
another war torn day in the middle east, highly intelligent aggressive peoples still stuck in the paradigms of centuries ago
when i think about it, the big problem is iran gaining the ability to make nuclear weaposn, its effectively a government by multiple militias and even if the government intended to not use them, they would not be able to keep them out of the hands of the terrorist organisations they sponser, so a possible future senario is hamas or hezebollah getting hold of nuclear weapons, using them and israel responding to any strike by nuking tehran, gaza and lebanon and that would probably be about it, a lot of radioactive ruins in certain areas of the middle east, though i think saudi arabia has cause for concern which is why the whole anti-israeli dynamic has changed in the middle east, the media are of course at least ten years behind the times, just a bunch of posturing fools
the big problem with nuclear weapons is not their existence since in effect they force and enforce peace, but where the states lose control of them and in fact this was a big lesson for the soviets in the cuba missile crisis, the politbureau were at risk of losing control of missle launching to local forces in cuba as well as the soviet navy and its very telling that during the entire crisis the russian missiles were stood down to the lowest level of rediness to signal to the americans they didn’t want to engage at the nuclear level and the trauma of it all eventually lead to khruschev being "sacked", too close for comfort
the difference between stalin and lenin
is lenin hung by the handful
while stalin killed by the bucketload
when execution is not enough
there’s always a mismanaged war
to really clock up those numbers
jason writes that america is volatile right now as well he might, travelling in support of a "fringe activist"
there’s no ideology around now to unite people, in riots they just raid upmarket stores which shows where the value system lies
history teaches that revolution comes from the top, there’s no sign of that
you might be mixing it with some anarchists which has a long if unsuccessful history in europe
anarchism in russia
where radical political theorists always go off the rails is they have no sense of history, which when you look at what has happened previously is a denial of static systems and creeds
what people don’t realise about napoleon and why he was so successful was the way he built up military infrastructure
unfortunately he couldn’t bring the same competence to bear in the naval area and they were well outclassed in admiralship and hardware by the british
he could never beat them, why he didn’t make peace with them is beyond me, better to have evacuated spain to, he seems to have this flaw of not getting out of doomed situations, despite his undoubted military brilliance
interestingly a year after trafalgar where villeneuve took the fleet to battle despite being told he was about to be replaced, napoleon had him murdered
jason is disturbed by the level of increasing "lawlessness" in new york, you can see that if covid continues at present levels, things will get pretty rough, however i am sure the americans super fast and comprehensive vaccination coverage will be effective
his phrase was "a warzone of protests"
interestingly a breakdown in law and order happened with the historicial plagues, of course covid is not in that area, not even slightly comparable to TB and syphilis
"life will generally be how it will be" , a partial truth and lie i feel and unsurprisingly a bedrock of a very militarily aggressive religion, (historically at least) islam
so many people in cities with large dogs who don’t care adequately for them, they need a lot of exercise which they don’t get and nutritionally lacking food to boot
mistreatment of pets is one of today’s paradigms
japan really lost the war well before pearl harbour with the rape of nanking
apart from the humanitarian aspect, it signaled japan’s inability to integrate subject populations into its own war effort
by contrast the roman empire was extremely successful at this, even to the extent of having ethnically non-roman emperors
neither germany nor napoleon need have failed in russia had they also done this
is there a paradigm of excessive religiosity whereby the state becomes too weak to defend itself as in the case of tibet and possibly the byzantine empire
interestingly, i wonder if that was a deep structure reason for the english reformation
i have been looking at videos of russian orthodox ceremonies and the occasional "patriarch" missive, its very off-putting and the failure of the church to have any sort of contact with everyday reality was part of the reason for the revolution
the church is now just empty formality, a freak of subsidy created by the current russian government and armed services
how russian politics really works , fascinating
i think putin is doomed, he can’t control the dissemination of this video and he can’t kill or imprison people like stalin/ aka "the butcher" was able to
however the preoccupation of this top "clique" with wealth and good living is in effect a saving grace, there is no return to the unspeakable brutality of the soviet years with the "ascetic joe"
if putin had any sense he would quietly turn his "palace" into a high class hotel/country club, it looks a nightmare/ madman’s folly and when he loses power, its one of several options of what will happen to it, another being a sort of state residence
i don’t think he’s mad, at least no more that a lot of power and money makes men, he is in reality a product of the years of deprivation induced by the soviet union and WW2 , an illuminating personal example of why communism is always doomed in the long run, personal material wealth is a central focus of human existence
it seemed to me donald trump’s personality changed after covid and the “experimental” monoclonal antibody cocktail he was given
personality change from covid induced brain damage is possible and not an unreasonable inference given his “advanced ” age
biden had given a public opinion about his not supporting continued legal action against trump, its just insane what happened from trump’s own view, he was already out of the frying pan and fire and just jumped in again
the russian orthodox church has never recovered from the revolution, just an empty form, it lacks the rich cultural context it once had
russia has never recovered from yeshov, beria and stalin, three pieces of work you never want to see in your lifetime, though of course they exist today in lesser scope in various places
so many of its best people were taken out of the genetic pool
the "monolith" craze i think is ideologically indebted to the kaaba, a rather crazy, empty idea
the battle of midway was surprisingly evenly matched, both sides with very deep deficits and strengths
however midway itself was of no strategic significance, all that mattered was the destruction of carriers
the japanese made a fatal mistake which cost them three of their carriers (ultimately all) and that was to have all their fighters sortied against a wave of american TBD devastator torpedo bombers leaving the japanese carriers without protection from three dive bomber attacks coming from other directions
one of the artifacts of the meiji era was the replacement of aristocratic competence with bureaucratic seniority to the huge detriment of any able military leadership which japan paid dearly for in WW2 and the problem still persists today, the fukushima disaster is another example and was actually worse than midway when you look at genetic damage to the population
WW1 , like WW2 was a forgone conclusion and only nuclear weapons and modern communications have prevented WW3
war is an interesting extreme, because it takes everything to the limit which is death and maiming
the genetic constructs that impel human territoriality expect and require this
there’s murderous sons of bitches out there
they just want to kill
without regard to the consequences for themselves
you have to give credit where credit is due, the catholic church keeps shooting itself through the head, the foot and the groin
this is what happens when you have an organisation run by enfeebled greying/whitening men
900 years ago european country boundaries were moved and armies raised by popes and heretics burnt alive
theologically it was always pretty vacuous, but that’s irrelevant when you have the coercive power of the state behind you
nowadays just the vacuity is left and it is starting to show in spades
they got an extra four hundred years of validity from those jews, teresa of avila and john of the cross
i think mother teresa was an exemplar of today’s religious paradigm, riddled with inconsistencies that are ultimately invalidating
i have a feeling she realised this, she was caught in some sort of transition she had no control over and was too old to make the necessary changes in her life
add a maori word
and its a done deal
the ocean was not crossed
by this nonsense
its interesting that this emphasis on each language having intrinsically different "values" or authenticity has its roots in a dispute about what language is going back to the 1950’s
noam chomsky’s view of langauge is as an organic development springing from genetic constructs being the "a priori" condition with no particular "priority" on the external form, eg japanese compared to english
the other view is more of language as a system of philosophy that has developed and hence is amenable to a ranking of order in terms of quality, eg maori being supposed somehow to be more "authentic" than english
new zealand bureaucracy with its characteristic wrong mindedness has of course plumbed for the latter view burdening the population with a neurolgically very costly and futile multilingual burden, when plainly the interests of social cohesivenss and utllity are best served by monolingualism
i will point out that nothing is lost by only having one language even in terms of other cultures since all langauages are basically (though not quite) interchangable, indeed the preservation of a culture will be enhanced by monolingualism since members of the culture are no longer labouring under the high neurological costs of multilingailism, nor having constant defections of younger generations out of the minority subculture since they are forced to make a choice in terms of the benefit of the dominant language
different cultures are in effect social stories which do represent different philsosphies and therefore, unlike language have prioriites of value
you might contrast pacifist versus "war mongering" subcultural differences in germany prior to WW1, clearly, from any point of view in the light of what happened, the pacifist subculture had a higher "value" than the other
interestingly the effect of the internet has been to enforce the dominance of english and form a "uni-western" culture to such an extent that the englsih speaking countries are starting to meld political and defence systesm creating the dominant geo-political grouping, just as well for australasia i’d say in its over-vulnerable exposure to china
"brexit" can be seen in this light
its interesting to consider that the disasterous politics of central europe may spring at its root from the high degree of multilingualism that just living there enforces to communicate, that the neurological cost of "multi-lingualism" there, while havihg an obvious benefit also has a pentalty of a lack of objective thinking about what are more optimal solutions to the cultural and racial mish-mash
i always find the way the post communist russian government brought back the imperial symbolism "lock stock and barrel" quite amusing, like the soviet years and communist ideology never existed
history’s bloodiest hyperlexic
stalin had a good piece of advice
if they are not for you, they are against you
interestingly, after his wife comitted suicide he took the view this applied to his wife’s family and he had them killed or imprisoned
he can’t have been too abnormal emotionally because his wife’s death deeply affected him, more so than just about anything else i think
if there was one thing that catalysed the murderous demonism of the rule of lenin and stalin, it was the execution of the children of the tsar
there were now no boundaries
russia lost its innocence
the toxic lead-up to the meiji era
not science fiction but the real mars , a planet with not enough gravity, no liquid water, unbreathable atmosphere and no magnetosphere to protect against cosmic rays and energetic particles from the sun
sergei korolev who spent several months in a gulag gold mine in the kolyma area, lucky to come alive out of there i would say
soviet russia suffered from the same problems as nazi germany, the destruction of the most productive portion of its middle class
a knowledge of history gives
a relaxed perspective
about current events
stability follows turmoil
and turmoil follows stability
you don’t need to know much more
hannibal is accounted a military genius, but he wasn’t, only a fool takes on an unbeatable enemy on their own terms which was all his invasion of italy could ever be
and missed the key feature of the problem, rome’s supremacy at sea
surely seafaring cultures like the phoenicians and carthaginians were could have risen to the challenge with the appropriate resources and redeveloped their galleys ?
i suppose the financial and organisational might of the roman empire made the prognosis certain, better to have sued for peace despite the necessary concessions
where old men
chuck away the lives
of young men
without too much thought
the problem with martin heidegger as a philosopher is he was a believing nazi who never changed his views and was in fact a subtle war criminal who should have been executed at the nuremberg trials, but as i say the scale and type of offence is too subtle for the world to grasp
the usa made no attempt to indoctrinate japan after WW2 in the way they did to germany and courted one of its biggest war criminals (the emperor was another) to meet its own political ends of gaining the countries support in the cold war
it explains a lot about how japan is today and yukio mishima was not entirely a crazy anomaly, though dated
unbelievable, rommel wasn't such a great general, what he had was the advantage of detailed tactical information on what the british were doing because the italians and germans could read the code transmissions by the US military attaché bonner fellers
adolf hitler rocking at the 1936 olympics
that was before he got into drugs , more like an "autistic rock"
pervertin wasn’t developed until a year after the 1936 olympics
bill gates rocks too
a salutary lesson about ezra’s pound’s later life is the extreme extent to which he manufactured his troubles
the italians weren’t keen on him broadcasting, nor was wartime italy friendly to him, and yet he stepped out against the current into what ruined his reputation and put him in danger of the death penalty
his fame worked against him, yet also saved him because of his supporters who were able to get him incarcerated in a mental asylum rather than face charges of treachery
how much simpler to have made a rational assessment of his beliefs and the likely outcome of any war, but of course he was quite schizophrenic by that point and had made the mistake of migrating from the much more interesting "literary schizophrenia" into the dull moronacy of "state and politcal belief sanctioned schizophrenia"
writers, poets and philosophers engage with politics at their peril, its too strong a brew
we have the genetic coding for the deep structure of language, we don’t have it for a specfic implementation, wars are born from this, i won’t call it a failure
one of the primary reasons for a religion which is no longer understood in the western world because of the separation of state and church was a belief in the afterlife making men ready to die for their country or cause
this goes right back to the ancient egyptians
its interesting that the soviet union was so brutal to retreating soldiers in the battlefield or even just their own men being taken prisoner and returning was necessary because of this lack of belief in the afterlife and extreme force was required to coerce men to put their own lives in danger
ISIS plays up the afterlife (one particularly appealing to young men) heavily, but its dissonant in today’s world and a reason it only exists as a fringe minority
we are less than rational creatures, underlying beliefs, however wrong still can have strong influences on behavior
the heft of hollywood was the emigration of jewish artistic talent from europe fleeing the nazis, it created an intense pool of talent not seen before or after and still has echoes today
greta garbo and marie dressler in anna christie
garbo’s friend salka viertel plays marthy owens in the german language version
greta garbo’s letters to salka viertel
for those that remember the shah and the revolution , this article offers some interesting perspectives
i think the situation of the mafia is all changed compared to twenty or thirty years ago and modern technology actually favours the FBI so the mafia are on a backfoot somewhat, the day of the large crime organisations is over, at least in places like the usa
there’s an interesting contrast between the marvellous engineering of the gun turrets of the yamoto and the incompetence of the politics and naval command that it was in service of
how can these gun turrets have been got so right yet the strategic management of the war been so wrong minded ?
i think its that you have a very defined function and closed feedback loops with respect to its performance whereas strategy involves predicting the future and that’s a very fraught area
the severely depressed captain of flight MH370, Zaharie Shah, killed the passengers and co-pilot by locking the co-pilot out of the cockpit, depressurizing the cabin and flying to a higher altitude
a well planned suicide and not such a mystery now
typical japan, hounding carlos ghosn for doing nothing remarkable in the way of graft by japanese standards, but not a single person responsble for the fukushima disaster has been touched
religion now is nothing compared to what it was in the middle ages
even soviet level social control wasn’t a patch on religion because everybody believed the religion , but nobody believed the soviet nonsense
when you look at religion now, you are just looking at the smoking wreck of some grand human marvel
elizabeth the first hit the ground running, becoming queen at age twenty-five, it was some feat to have survived to that point and she went on to become a brutal and effective monarch, skilled enough to die at the late age of 69, possibly of lead poisoning from her make-up
the question is how was she able to steer with such a skillful hand, one that really required several lifetimes to have been lived
well she read tacitus and so lived through the lessons of a particularly murderous period of rome’s political history
i think actually it was the combination of stalin and beria that made their rule so lethal, without their combined and mutually compensatory competence the regime would have fallen apart
bad luck for russia of course
when stalin started to threaten beria and the politburo, they were forced to have him killed
the most amazing thing about the japanese effort in WW2, was that such a small country was so well prepared to fight the russo-japanese war again
that’s a lot of hardware and lives at the bottom of the ocean
interestingly russia was the same problem for hitler as napoleon and their “ solution ” ie invasion, worked for neither of them
the most glaring deficiency of the german airforce in WW2 was the lack of a four engined long ranged bomber capable of reaching the soviet union’s armaments manufacturing plants, yet the first flight of the american B-17 “ flying fortress ” was in 1935
the senior levels of the luftwaffe were startlingly incompetent
both germany and japan failed to surrender when it was apparent all was lost, this is in contrast to the usual pragmatism of losing and winning sides throughout history
i think this was due to communications technology enabling a degree of social control that resulted in the war going far beyond what was reasonable
russia’s disaster with its nuclear powered cruise missile shows that a new treaty is needed to stop the development of these weapons which literally spew significant amounts of radioactive material in their exhausts, so much so that you could design one to do just that and it would be a very effective threat and likely to be used
i think there’s an underlying social issue with china and other asian countries not charging for the environmental cost of their labour and this has created an anti-repair attitude
china has to become a democracy to address its future of enviromental devasation
from mishima to mitsurugi the only thing the japanese seem to have learnt from world war two is to want more of the same
well they got it in part in fukushima, the usual incompetent hierarchies
no wonder the relation between saudi arabia and isis is so ambiguous, isis is wahhabi
islam is a form of nestorian christianity and a now long defunct form of christanity called “ tritheism ” which was competing with islam at the time has earnt the ire of the koran
once you understand the position of the koran as a polemic against “ the father, son and holy ghost ” christian schema, it makes much more sense
i don’t usually post what might be construed as a political oponion but i was looking at this interview of roman polanski and it opened up an aspect i hadn’t previously considered which is closure for the relatives affected
i am now in favour of the death penalty because its not possible
for the relatives of the victim to have closure while the perpetrators are still living
i suspect this is hardwired into our brains given what history says in this area
also society needs to make a reference point in touch with what really happens and the imposition of effective consequences
traitors like julian assange should face the death penalty too
the above opinons do not make me right wing, its an objective look at how a society functions and of course opinions go into the sea of nothingness
if you read history and the endless circuses and mock and real tragedies that occur, you wouldn’t have the slightest concern with contemporary politics except in so much as it affects you
unsurprisingly this is how most people operate, even without the historical insight
people who don’t look at history
are imprisoned by the present
a relative has just been in vietnam saying she had a wonderful time, but vietnam always sounds weird to me being brought up during its war
angkor wat failed because it got drier, rather like what happened to the aztecs at their peak, not enough rainfall to support the irrigated agriculture those sorts of hierarchical “ temple ” societies depended on
when stalin got to hell the devil brought up ivan the terrible and genghis khan so
they could all bow down before stalin
as the three bowed to him, stalin raised an eyebrow and asked
where’s hitler ?
i have a feeling donald trump stepping across the DMZ into north korea is way more significant than appears, i’m not quite sure why
the real problem of iran having nuclear weapons is not actually having them, but keeping them out of the hands of “ terrorists ” since the so called government is in fact a temporary alliance of competing militia
you can imagine the chaos and destruction the possession of several atomic bombs could wreak with a single minded ideologically driven militia
trump is uneven, but he has this one right, at least in identifiying a real problem
why don’t you mention the fact that israel has illegal nukes. i believe israel is more destabilizing than even iran
the israel nukes are government controlled, the problem with iran is that it still doesn’t really have an all powerful central government
mutually assured destruction works, provided the parties involved have a sane perception of self-interest
the disaster of world war two for russia, is having perfected a killing machine like no other before the war, the war then offered a human mincer that could never be filled
the killing machine shovelled so many russian lives into it that russia has never recovered
london was significantly bombed during world war one
the british must have been blind in the approach to world war two as to what was about to happen
oddly the germans obviously had the potential to develop what was a huge deficit in their world war two arsenal, the long range bomber
its intrinsic to any form of public health system or subsidy that a strong degree of triage occurs that does not favour the patient
conversely there is not enough triage for the wealthy who can get saddled with problematic or not necessarily useful interventions
there’s a lot of these homemade war films on the web made by germans
they are very depressing and not very accurate depictions of combat, but the one lesson the germans seem to have taken from two disasterous world wars of their own making is a lot of their own young men get killed
they don’t seem to question the why or benefit of the fighting
you would think one world war was enough
interestingly the iranians and iraqs seem to have gone through the same learning curve
interestingly japan had the most advanced atomic bomb program at the start of the war, if they had combined their efforts with the germans “ high castle ” could have been a reality and we would all now be talking about the brave and courageous efforts of the japanese and germans during the war and how mistaken the west and russia were in going to war against these “ superior ” peoples
however the japanese naval command who the atomic bomb project worked for starved it of resources and instead built huge waste of time gigantic battleships and submarines because in their minds they were still fighting the russo-japanese war
george c. marshall is the unsung hero of organising the allied war effort
all the insanity of the third reich was condensed in the last weeks/days in the bunker, i notice the neo-nazis are quite and i guess knowingly ignorant of what went on
given the role of religion in japan in WW2, its no wonder the japanese are now so cynical about shinto and buddhism, they used to be highly superstitious
same thing happened with christianity with the disaster area of the crusades
islam has always been more or less successful and so the cynicism is not there
the most fascinating fact i find about adolf hitler is he was deliberately childless and it wasn’t as though he disliked them
murdering millions including germans, yet deliberately childless
something wrong in heaven and earth i’d say
the next most fascinating fact is how he had eva braun’s brother-in-law shot in the last days in the bunker and eva’s preoccupation in her last hours was trying to keep this information from her sister
these neo-nazis are oblivious to any in depth research on their hero
going back in time and killing hitler is a common science fiction scenario, its assumed to be a good thing, but you should ask, how could things be worse without him ?
a germany that didn’t discrimate against jews and with a more functional leadership could have developed an atomic bomb and you have the possibility of the usa, germany, russia and japan all developing the atomic bomb around the same time and given the sorts of mindsets going on then, a widespread atomic war could have been a possibility
martin heidegger’s weakness was he never studied history so he had to find out the hard way philosophy and political ideas don’t mix
philosophy is the abnegation of life, not its twisting into gain
the central problem of nuclear weapons that the cuban missile crisis revealed was the loss of central control over the firing of the weapons, the soviets were so scared of what might happen in cuba they kept all their russian territory based missiles stood down to send an unmistakable message to the americans
this problem is what drives current policies and the problem with iran getting nuclear weapons is their lack of central control over them
modern china has some interesting characteristics, the recreation and obliteration of the past
the restoration of the qianlong emperor’s retirement lodge
the qianlong emperor governed when ‘ the dream of red mansions ’ was written and he was a patron of giuseppe castiglione
cetainly a time of the flowering of chinese culture
the problem with fighting in a war is death is too random
religion is a conversion of the true strangeness of infinity into the dull moronacy of mediocracy
religion is the conversion of the true strangeness of infinity into the dull moronacy of mediocracy
stalin’s problem wasn’t just his brutality, but that it was co-joined to a religious adherence to an economic philosophy so contrary to millennia of human experience as to what works that “ brutality ” as a platonic (plutonic!) ideal was allowed to “ flower ”
so much of human “ disaster ” can be attributed to its running roughshod over areas that are strange to its ways and thinking
theresa may is not margaret thatcher, a failed image
there is some mythologizing of vladimir lenin as “ saintly ” and it all went wrong after him, but he was not a nice person
murder is the origin of socialism
honestly, the american public education system is just turning out a very low reading age, they are taught to dislike anything intelligent or “ stretches ” them
i don’t know why the japanese are so obsessed with reliving world war 2 in their entertainment and unfortunately with real life disasters like fukushima
a society in distinct need of cartharsis
monoculture is a disease
i never realised the battle of gaza was so destructive to the british, the incompetent generalmanship was the background to lawrence of arabia’s efforts
you can see the seeds of disaster of two world wars here, a maelstrom gathering strength, militarism, an insane social hierarchy and the stupidity of crowds
is the public school system in the u.s.a. self destructing ?
a reddit post
“ A few things to consider about public versus private schools
You cannot control for the parenting received by the other children. Public school batches together peacefully-raised children with children who are physically and verbally abused. This is the source of most bullying: abused children are “ paying forward ” their abuse onto more peaceful kids. Even worse, if your kid defends him/herself, they are punished equally due to stupid SJW disciplinary policies.
Unless you get into a magnet school, the quality is pretty meh. Class curriculum is calibrated to the mean of the IQ curve. If your kid is smarter than average, then they are bored and miserable. This is even worse if your child is a boy, as boys don't do well with the dominant “ sit still and shut up ” model
Neo-Liberal/SJW/radical egalitarian ideas are baked into the curriculum at this point. Here is a quote taken directly from the AP English Language guidelines:
The assigned Reading facilitates informed citizenship and thus increases students' capacity to enter into consequential conversations with others about meaningful issues.
Rather than, say, training English skills, the education establishment sees it as their JOB to train the next generation of Social Justice Footsoldiers... oh, sorry — “ facilitate informed citizenship ” according to their own definition of “ informed ”
This all happened within the past 10 years; the neo-Marxist politicization of school is accelerating. If your child is young, like under 12, do you think this trend is going to magically reverse as they move towards high school ?
Please take this seriously : I worked in education for six years, and quit in disgust over what I was seeing. In America, unlike Europe, you still retain the freedom to opt-out... for now. I highly, highly suggest you use that freedom ”
“ in both rats and humans, the cannabis affected many different sperm genes involved in two different pathways
ed. think of pathways as another set of instructions, this time for regulating various bodily functions
one is important for organs to reach full size , and one plays a role in cancer and suppressing tumors ”
the odd thing is , japan had the most advanced nuclear bomb program at the start of the war, if they had joined forces with the germans, together they could have well developed one at the same time as the americans, but instead, the opportunity was only minimally resourced and the navy instead built huge inappropriate warships and submarines
japan had and still has a deep cultural problem of seniority overriding competence at the highest levels
anders breivik was seeking to impose his view of how the world should be rather than change his thinking
this is such a human thing
the reason for our constantly trying to impose on the world is that the minimal degree it can be imposed upon still has an orders of magnitude better energy benefit than structural change in ourselves
mental illness and international politics can be defined by their total inability to garner any energy benefit from structural neurological change
hitler wasn’t personally cruel, gentle even, he just had these ideas others implemented for him
throughout history there have been women rulers, they were really good at the mechanisms of power, rulers don’t rule for your benefit but their own
that they stay in power is due to some compromises made for the general public benefit
basically hitler and the nazis rose to power because they forcibly took a license to rob then destroy the most productive part of the population, they had always lost the war before they even started
hitler was more of a mixed bag than the way he is painted today
fukushima is illustrative of why the japanese lost world war two, incompetence at the highest levels
napoléon was a victor by virtue of running a meritocracy, only he couldn’t quite pick 100% and villneuve was one and it doomed him, the french and spanish failure at trafalgar was the long term loss of the control of continental europe
a very interesting series on the napoléonic wars
napoléon was off his rocker fighting the battle of waterloo, he was well outnumbered and then crazily moved into a situation where he could be exposed to two armies on two flanks
one of the miracles of the roman empire was the way it encompassed different language groups in relative harmony
its the culture that must have been the cement
nazism was a product of a combination of technologies that permitted a huge concentration of power in the hands of one man or a small group
the flawed decision making that resulted from this was to the detriment of everyone
the technogy “ flux ” today has the permissive empowerment of dissent that will not permit the empowerment of doctrines like nazism again
islam, is quite simply, a social control theology designed to keep the reins tight on subjected populations
the problem the catholic church has, is its so much rubbish why would you be a priest except you have some hidden agenda
we all know what the hidden agenda is !
the american world war two effort was incredibly intelligent, from the outset of the war, even though they were not yet at war they were gearing up for war production and actually the efficiency of this was faciliated by not being at war yet
george c. marshall is one of the unsung heroes of world war 2 !
bismark can have never anticipated the disasters to follow his successful work in unifying germany
his work was used by idiots to their supposed advantage
he gave them good advice they always ignored
‘ english speaking countries will act together in war ’
i really take an historical view, people don’t understand how life and institutions work without being knowledgeable about history
any army is so many clones
marxism denies the role of competence in the accumulation of wealth and its proposal that fiat can replace it is as wrong a call as you can get
no horror story can match medieval torture and no dystopia can match stalin’s rule
nicholas the second would have to be the most useless person possible to have become czar , 99% of the population of russia would have done a much better job than him
well, i suppose history is full of incompetent rulers whose failures lead to disaster
though theoretically the succession was hereditary, there was always a lot of wiggle room as to who actually gained the reins of power and its an interesting question as to why an obvious incompetent was never challenged ?
it must have been that the system despite its obvious flaws peaked in the degree of social control, an unfortunate example the bolsheviks were to follow with their own cruel twists
technology had delivered a degree of quietude as to who was actually czar to a degree nicholas’s predecessors can have only marvelled at and an ominous rumbling heralding the twentieth centuries many great governmental failures where the madness of various insane social control tableaus triumphed over common sense
basically the rise of nazi germany and communisim was due to technology creating an opportunity for extreme social control to prosper at the expense of a more hard edged rationalism
today with the internet things have changed again with strong technological biases against any ideological/theological social control and local and international poltics are slowly following suit
strong fragmented polticial groupings within what used to be socially controlled homogenity is now the order of the day, a trend which can only be expected to accelerate
heidegger was a better historian than philosopher , this view of technologically driven social shapes of governement is his
not everyone is a bastard
christianity predated st. paul and interestingly, islam may be descended from that early christianity
religion is gaslighting on a cultural scale
stalin and lennin were social philosophers, they picked the one that works least and had to embark on a campaign of wholesale murder to enforce it
the moment you take the pressure off, things spring back to what they were, at least to the extent possible
there’s a lot of crazy sides to the holocaust, one of which is the damage done to germany’s middle class ensured it could never win the war and another is judaism still survives, yet such an event definitively invalidates the religion in its own terms
history teaches scepticism about social attitudes and politics, i’m with thomas hobbes !
history teaches scepticism about social attitudes and politics
the strangeness of being kim jong-un
he is caught in a cleft stick, for military strength and survival of the country, he and others of the ruling clique need to open up the country economically
but to do so will mean a loss of control that will hold them accountable for their what are in effect war crimes against their own populus
they can’t “ denuclearise ” because their primary purpose is to hold off the chinese who are a more likely invader than south korea !
we are in for changes in a long running drama about why stalinism doesn’t work !
i think cocaine is everywhere now, its epidemic !
war in the congo, this shakes you up !
its like vietnam, the ground cover reduces the effectiveness of air strikes so local militias are hugely empowered against the state !
in the ambush at the end the insurgents targeted the colonel specifically, how did they know ?
nothing justifies dying on a battlefield in your prime, this is why state supported religions create fictious systems of justification, from ancient egypt to isis
one of winston churchill’s astutest moves was to nix any assassination attempts on hitler, perhaps because of the lesson of his own disasterous interference in the admiralty at the beginning of the war
both stalin and churchill learnt the lesson of not interfering too greatly in the armed services operations, hitler never did dooming german efforts !
interestingly, churchill was a power user of propaganda !
stalin couldn’t kill his mother or his daughter. he half killed one of his sons, everybody else was fair game
surreal , another the death of stalin !
the chinese communist party had its origins in the boxer rebellion and now the new emperor ( 2018 — xi jinping ) has been annointed !
working class or peasant rebellions are always doomed through a lack of intelligent leadership !
a lot of one’s concerns are effete compared to the reality in syria
what dreary stupid people
upper class england
history makes sense of the world in ways contemporary views can never touch
neo nazis know nothing of history
i think why the underlying problem of north korea having nuclear weapons is the intense focus and instability of decision making at the senior level due to the kim personality cult !
basically north korea will have to change its system of government and that of course is being strenuously resisted !
over centralization of power was also behind the fiascos of the german and russian war efforts in world war II, though stalin eventually conceded his ineptitude and let the generals run the war !
basically north korea’s development of potentially effective ballistic nuclear weapons is re-igniting the korean war and you can’t pretend its not happening !
hmm . . it was no wonder archimedes was killed , the romans wanted vengance !
his artillery engines and grappling hooks made what should have been a pushover into a nightmare !
interestingly archimedes seemed to understand “ defense in depth ” !
the interesting thing about carl von clausewitz is he was basically a failure as a military man, his one big success in perusading the prussians to abandon the french grande armée and join the russian - german legion was more of a diplomatic coup
but his insights on war were born of defeat and failure which is really the truest base for understanding, the insight that springs from success is limited !
failure follows success as night follows day !
samurai culture is just some nonsense about “ honour ” used to justify mindless banditry and “ thieves culture ” !
the nazis, for a goup so keen on white supremacy didn’t see any contradiction apparently for the second time in embarking on a war so depleting of these races finest !
the glaring deficiency in the german invasion of russia was the lack of a four engined long range bomber which mean the germans were unable to target russian factories in the urals
they didn’t need better tanks, indeed the later models were ill suited because of their high maintenance needs and were difficult to service
if they didn’t quickly conquer they were doomed !
learning an unnecessary extra or second language fucks people up !
the internet has turned acting into a volunteer profession, the rash of denunciations of sexual coercion by film directors at the moment (2017/18) is really about there not being enough money or work to keep the lid on !
acting has gone the way of book writing and publishing and photography, all entirely “ volunteer ” activities now !
the theoretical and historical origins of ISIS ?
“ ibn taymiyyah, a noted theologian of his times, developed his blatantly racist concept of takfir : that is to say inferior muslims against whom jihad was permissible, precisely in response to mongol muslims ”
contemporary politics only appears significant because people have no notion of history
one interesting and unintended side effect of the nuremberg race laws was the removal of jews from the wehrmacht resulted in a subtle lack of effective strategic thinking at all levels to the point where any infantryman was a better strategist than what actually happened !
to be fair to adolf, operation barbarossa could have possibly succeeded if they had marched rapidly and directly on just moscow while soviet tank production was still low !
even in the very early stages, german troop losses were too high to be sustained !
the writing was on the wall within days of the start of the invasion !
a measure of the intelligence of iosif was that he had nikolai varfolomeev arrested only after he had handed in his draft to the publisher of his famous ‘ the evolution of operational art ’ , foundational for russian strategy in world war II !
he was arrested within days of handing it in and later died in prison in 1941 !
hmm, a stalin parody
the startling resembance of north korea to george orwell’s novel 1984 is rarely mentioned in media, presumably because of the lack of public familiarity with the book ?
at its extreme is the public execution in 2013 of eleven musicians who were tied to the nozzles of anti-aircraft guns and blown apart for making a pornographic video !
“ The escapee then recalled how the guns were fired one by one, saying : The musicians just disappeared each time the guns were fired into them
Their bodies were blown to bits, totally destroyed, blood and bits flying everywhere
Afterwards, Hee Yeon said tanks moved in and ran over the pieces of the victims’ bodies
She added : The tracks of the tanks were run over the remains and blood repeatedly, over and over again and made to grind the remains, to smash them into the ground until there was nothing left ”
i think the unstoppable immigration in the u.s.a. has made unskilled labour almost worthless !
the anti-rascist confessional meme sweeping through certain sections of american society is just the trauma of the collapse of the white middle class and them getting used to the new poverty
if you are going to say what world war 2 was about, it was the tension between the nazi decimation of its middle classes that ensured its defeat and the victory by more rational parties
while russia had decimated its army leadership and the middle class had long been gone, stalin made a decision after successive disasters from his own decision making to leave the control of the war to his generals, a strategy that basically worked though they had very heavy losses
the monarchy is a british middle class fetish !
kamikaze, each one was the death of a young man while the old ones still lived
reddit seems to be unduly composed of the insane and retarded, how do you get that ?
well this graph shows how
in any population .1% are going to be off the wall crazy, on reddit a tenth of a percent post 12% of the comments, so you can see what happens !
it applies particularly to message boards and the net, but perhaps also to politics, small populations of crazy by vociferous and disproportionate input form incredible real world biases !
hitler was the atomic bomb that blew up in germany !
history opens one’s eyes as to the reality of politics !
politics is like some mania of the present but historical studies give perspective !
both kim jong-un and his father kim jong-il could see the problems with the way things were going, but decided to continue the same way anyway !
in fact kim jong-un is creating a situation favouring the west at the expense of china and all the west can do is lie low and see the way things break !
in terms of blackmail by far the largest population within their medium range ballistic missile reach is china !
an interesting read
my mother and her siblings and mother were evacuated from auckland because of an expected japanese invasion (my grandfather was fighting in the western desert campaign, it ruined his health) and a woman who was a family friend had been interned in a camp as a child by the japanese
its not an abstract issue “ down under ”
i was really shocked having done zen in a hakuun yasutani lineage to see his ultra nationalism, it really opened my eyes as to people in zen being toxic and clueless !
oddly about 15 years ago i met a guy here who spent the war in changi prison , his only comment was a bit mysterious, ‘ you really only learn about people when you work alongside them ’ !
i had a japanese friend shimpi at primary school in auckland (it was anglican and i was boarding, king’s school actually) , his father was there on business, i remember going to their home once, i fiddled with the shrine they had in the house and couldn’t put it back the way i found it ! : o)
the class bully was getting a bit out of hand hitting people, so shimpi and i waylaid him and gave him a good trashing . . he never touched us again !
° ° ° ° ° ° ° ° °
yeah bayoneting pregnant women, the nanking massacre, the thai-burma railway, the zen clergy supported all that, thank-god the imperial navy underfunded their nuclear bomb program or things would have turned out very differently ! !
its like heidegger being as bad as hitler, he and zen provided the supporting ideology for the war, they should all have been hanged !
what was one of the largest mistakes in history ?
the hanging and exile of the decembrists, russia lost its moderate road and we all know what happened !
religion is just endless useless and wrong minded meta !
i would go so far as to say d. t. suzuki was a war criminal, once you start promoting the glory of death for the cause of “ the greater imperial japan ” then all else that happens follows !
the japanese management of the war at its top levels was cryingly incompetent, power centralized on idiots, same issues with their invasion of china !
not funding their nuclear bomb program even though it was quite advanced, missing the US aircraft carriers at pearl harbour when they were what really mattered, getting their own carrier fleet sunk by keeping them all together (go marshal admiral yamamoto) , huge resources put into building complete waste of time giant submarines and the failure to integrate china in a productive way into their empire . .
and unbelievably both yamamoto and the emperor (who had a very significant active role) thinking they would ultimately lose the war
there is a cultural problem with overdominant hierarchies and power concentration, same issue with fukushima !
you don’t see it in the old ch’an and its there in spades in western zen coming from japanese lineages, just straight militarism really !
most politicians seem to have a degree of borderline personality disorder !
also a lot of wars seem to be entirely pointless, large countries taking on stupid causes that really need quite different resolutions, like afghanistan needs political solutions, not some stupid endless tribal conflict with major powers just getting enmeshed in tribal stuff !
anybody in the armed services kills people one way or another, some direct, others indirectly !
the real danger of warfare today is IEDs and the concussion
there is a huge need for post traumatic stress counsellors/therapists which is basically due to concussive brain damage which because of IEDs is at world war one levels where they used to get all sorts of explosive shit dropped on them in the confined space of the trenches !
an interesting thing about hitler is the allies deliberately didn’t attempt to assassinate him because they valued his leadership incompetence as debilitating to the german/nazi war effort and they weren’t wrong
by killing reinhard heydrich who was devastatingly competent, they showed they could get their man if they wanted to !
my comment in reply to the classic hiroshima photo with the bombed out exhibition hall building dome (suprisingly designed by the czech architect jan letzel)
just be thankful the japanese spent all their dough on useless giant submarines and gave very little funding to their surprisingly advanced atomic bomb program
if at the start of the war they and the germans had united and given adequate priority to their atomic weapons programs, history would have been changed so much all of us wouldn’t exist
both germany and japan were hobbled by extreme concentration of power and always doomed by the incompetence of their leaders !
“ Nationalist socialism has its own merits ”
yes it killed as many of its own people as others !
its unbelievable what people promote these days !
the way the nazi genocide of the jews disrupted the german and occupied countries middle classes always meant the war was lost for them
the independence struggle of india was relatively benign, but all the violence was in the partition which in hindsight given today’s world might not have been such a bad idea !
the basic thing the net has done is fragment the mass markets
so while everybody is guaranteed an audience (even me!) the markets are smaller and less economic and depending on the size don’t support any (or may permit) a limited overhead
translation : you have to do everything yourself and i must say i have learnt a lot about editing over the years !
linked without comment
one thing that is obvious about international politics is the impossibility of creating limited nice solutions !
the millennials are an entitled generation
its a strategy born or developmentally acquired in plentitude
why waste energy when the world will deliver all/what you want to your doorstep
the problem arises /problems arise when what you need (or want!) is not delivered